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28 Apr, 2026 (Tuesday)

            
HESAI-W(2525)
Analysis¡G
Hesai¡¦s 2025 business performance reached important milestones in both scale and quality. The company became the world¡¦s first LiDAR company to achieve full-year GAAP profitability. According to data from Gasgoo Automotive Research Institute, Hesai also secured the No.1 position in the 2025 vehicle-mounted main LiDAR market with a market share exceeding 40%. As LiDAR becomes an indispensable ¡§invisible safety airbag¡¨ for ensuring ADAS safety, the Group has successfully won designated projects from all of China¡¦s top 10 OEMs and has entered the mass market for vehicles priced below RMB 100,000. The Group has precisely captured the market inflection point for L3 autonomous driving vehicles equipped with multiple LiDAR units. Through strategic partnerships with NVIDIA and other partners, it is accelerating global expansion. These milestones are structurally increasing the LiDAR value per vehicle and further expanding the potential market space.
For the full year ended December 31, 2025, the Group¡¦s net revenue exceeded RMB 3 billion (US$433 million), hitting a record high and representing a year-on-year increase of 46%. Total shipments tripled year-on-year to more than 1.6 million units. More importantly, thanks to strong revenue growth, strict cost control, and operating leverage improvements driven by AI technology enhancing efficiency across R&D, manufacturing, and operations, the Group achieved GAAP net profit of RMB 436 million (US$62 million) and non-GAAP net profit of RMB 551 million (US$79 million) in 2025. The Group has recorded GAAP net profit for three consecutive quarters and non-GAAP net profit for five consecutive quarters. At the same time, it has maintained positive operating cash flow for three consecutive years, with net assets increasing to approximately RMB 9 billion (US$1.3 billion).
In the domestic market, the Group secured multiple-LiDAR model designations from Li Auto, Xiaomi, and Changan, with mass production scheduled for 2026¡V2027. Multi-LiDAR vehicle models typically carry 3 to 6 LiDAR units per vehicle. Additionally, Unitree Robotics has selected Hesai¡¦s JT128 LiDAR for full deployment on all its humanoid robots that will appear on the 2026 CCTV Spring Festival Gala. Hesai also obtained designation for its FTX LiDAR on Niu Electric¡¦s new two-wheeled vehicle models, further expanding application scenarios for FTX LiDAR and ushering in the era of automotive-grade 3D perception for the two-wheeled electric vehicle market. Globally, Hesai was selected as the primary LiDAR partner for the NVIDIA DRIVE Hyperion 10 platform. When OEMs build autonomous driving systems based on the NVIDIA platform, Hesai will be their preferred one-stop LiDAR solution. Hesai has also partnered with Grab, designating it as the exclusive distributor for Hesai in Southeast Asia. Leveraging Grab¡¦s scale and distribution network, Hesai will rapidly expand sales channels for its high-quality LiDAR products in the region.
Beyond the automotive sector, broad opportunities continue to emerge. According to data from GGII, Yole Group, and Frost & Sullivan, Hesai ranks No.1 in major robotics sub-segments including humanoid and quadruped robots, robotaxis, unmanned logistics vehicles, and lawnmower robots. The Group has raised its full-year LiDAR shipment guidance to 3 million to 3.5 million units. To meet surging demand in the ADAS and robotics sectors, the Group plans to increase annual production capacity to over 4 million units in 2026.
Strategy¡G
Buy-in Price: $180.00, Target Price: $200.00, Cut Loss Price: $170.00


BIDU-SW(9888)
Analysis¡G
Baidu's 2025 financial report shows the company is in a critical "transition" period as it shifts toward AI. Full-year revenue reached RMB 129.1 billion, a slight year-on-year decline of 3%. Due to asset impairments and other factors, net profit attributable to shareholders fell approximately 76% to RMB 5.6 billion. The core highlight is the strong performance of its AI business, with full-year AI revenue reaching RMB 40 billion, and its share of general business revenue continuing to rise. In the fourth quarter, AI accounted for 43% of revenue. On the news front, Baidu Union recently launched its overseas App business, simultaneously introduced a hybrid model, and set up a special $100 million support program to empower overseas advertisers and developers to expand into global markets. Currently, the platform has partnered with over 10,000 app advertisers, covering 113 industry segments. Overseas local client ad spending accounts for more than 80% of the total, and the business has extended into multiple high-value sectors. We believe Baidu Union's overseas App business is an important extension of Baidu's AI commercialization strategy, offering significant strategic value and financial potential. Overall, Baidu is at a critical stage of transformation from an internet company to an AI-native company. The current valuation already reflects high AI growth expectations, but catalysts such as the spin-off of Kunlunxin and the commercialization of autonomous driving could bring revaluation opportunities.
Strategy¡G
Buy-in Price: $125.70, Target Price: $141.00, Cut Loss Price: $114.30



BLOKS (325.HK) - Overseas revenue increased nearly fourfold YoY, marking initial success in globalization

Overview

BLOKS is a leader in China's assembly character toys market. The company holds over 500 patents, possesses original IP capabilities, and has non-exclusive licenses for approximately 50 well-known IPs. Its product positioning is "high quality at a reasonable price." Leveraging its product strength and supply chain advantages, BLOKS maintains cost competitiveness while continuously expanding its product categories. The company has established a multi-channel sales network, and since 2022, has primarily focused on offline channels centered on distributors. According to Frost & Sullivan, the company's GMV reached approximately RMB 1.8 billion in 2023, + 170% YoY, with a market share of 30.3% in China's assembly character toys market and 7.4% in the building toy market. During the same period, China's assembly character toys market was valued at RMB 5.8 billion, accounting for 5.5% of the overall toy market, 14.3% of the character-based toy market, and 24.4% of the building toy market.

Achieved turnaround to profitability in 2025, with R&D capabilities systematically strengthened

The company achieved sales revenue of RMB 2.91 billion in 2025, + 30.0% YoY. By series, Transformers, Ultraman, Kamen Rider, and HEROSPIRE were the company's top four best-selling series, generating revenues of RMB 951 million, RMB 815 million, RMB 331 million, and RMB 264 million, respectively. By product category, building-and-character toy generated revenue of RMB 2.84 billion, accounting for 97.6% of total revenue, + 29.1% YoY; the assembly vehicle toys and building block toys generated revenue of RMB 70 million, accounting for 2.4% of total revenue, + 77.0% YoY. By channel, offline distribution generated revenue of RMB 2.64 billion, accounting for 90.5% of total revenue, + 27.8% YoY; consignment sales generated revenue of RMB 22.5 million, accounting for 0.8% of total revenue; online channels generated revenue of RMB 253 million, accounting for 8.7% of total revenue, + 62.3% YoY. The growth rate of online channels outpaced the company's overall revenue, demonstrating strong development momentum. Adjusted profit was RMB 675 million, + 15.5% YoY; profit for the year was RMB 634 million, achieving a turnaround from losses in the previous year. As of the end of 2025, the company's R&D team consisted of 618 members, accounting for 66.1% of total employees. The company holds 548 domestic granted patents, 24 overseas granted patents, and 83 domestic invention patents. The R&D expense ratio for 2025 was 9.1%, + 37.3% YoY, reflecting a systematic strengthening of the company's R&D capabilities. The company expands product categories based on core user demands, achieving significant R&D results in themes such as vehicles, animals, and dress-up. Its product matrix continues to diversify, with positive market feedback. During the reporting period, the company launched the "BLOKEES WHEEL" series, which combines ease of assembly and modification, integrates diverse IP themes and automotive culture, and utilizes high-density materials with independent intellectual property rights. It also developed the "TERRAVENTUR" animal-themed toys (e.g., Dinosaur series), achieving an integration of building, articulation, and fine skin textures through the "one-Skin-Feature System". Additionally, the company launched the "DaaLaMode 1/12" dress-up theme series, featuring modular bodies and standardized joints, paired with fabric clothing suitable for various scenarios.

Overseas revenue increased nearly fourfold YoY, marking initial success in globalization

In 2025, the company continued to expand its overseas markets and deepen user engagement, launching "BLOKEES," an official fan community app covering 12 countries and regions across Asia-Pacific, aimed at building a global fan ecosystem to support overseas business growth. Overseas sales revenue reached RMB 319 million, an increase of nearly 4x YoY. By region, revenue from Asia (excl. China) grew to RMB 133 million, + 238.1% YoY; revenue from the Americas rose to RMB 150 million, + 804.1% YoY. The United States and Indonesia were the company's top two overseas revenue markets in 2025.

Significant Increase in Asset Scale and Notable Improvement in Debt-to-Asset Ratio

As of the end of 2025, the Company's total assets reached RMB 4.12 billion, + 156.6% YoY. Total liabilities stood at RMB 1.25 billion, while the debt-to-asset ratio was 30.4%, representing a substantial decrease of 169.3 percentage points YoY, indicating a marked improvement in the financial structure. Shareholders' equity turned positive to RMB 2.87 billion, primarily attributable to the automatic conversion of convertible redeemable preferred shares into ordinary shares upon the Company's listing in early 2025, as well as the turnaround from loss to profit during the year. Cash and bank balances amounted to RMB 2.33 billion, + 223% YoY, significantly strengthening the Company's cash position. With ample cash on hand, the Company has laid a solid foundation for future R&D investment, market expansion, and capacity build-out. Inventory stood at RMB 332 million, and inventory turnover days increased from 64 days in 2024 to 75 days in 2025. This increase was mainly due to higher product inventory to support sales performance. Accounts payable increased 33% YoY, primarily driven by continued business growth.

Continuous Expansion of the IP Matrix

In April 2026, the Company made its debut at the Thailand Toy Expo, showcasing its two core product categories: "Blokees" and "BLOKEES WHEELS." The exhibition highlighted a diverse matrix covering 17 globally recognized IPs and over 300 products, including Ultraman, Transformers, DC, Neon Genesis Evangelion, Naruto, Minions, Jurassic World, Hatsune Miku, and HEROSPIRE. During the event, the Company globally launched four brand-new Blokees models, which stood out as key highlights and are expected to further drive market enthusiasm and sales. The Company introduced the DaaLaMode series, developing multiple products around popular IPs such as Hatsune Miku, strategically addressing the underserved female customer segment. Meanwhile, the TERRAVENTURE series, set against the Jurassic World backdrop, features nature- and animal-themed assembly models, further refining the product portfolio for different customer groups. We believe the Company is building a diversified IP matrix that spans generations, geographies, and product categories, enabling it to effectively respond to increasingly discerning consumer preferences and mitigate the risk of over-reliance on any single IP.

Investment Thesis

BLOKS holds significant advantages in Lower-Tier Markets. BLOKS' channel penetration strategy in lower-tier markets is not a mere distribution push but a systematic effort. Its core logic can be summarized as: attracting customers with low-priced products, covering a dense network of outlets, maintaining an efficient distributor system, and precisely positioning stores near school campuses. Consumers in lower-tier markets are highly price-sensitive, but they do not simply chase low prices, they seek "ultimate cost-effectiveness." BLOKS accurately captures this demand by launching products such as the 9.9 RMB "Star Edition" and BLOKEES WHEELS series, as well as the 14.9 RMB "TERRAVENTUR" animal-themed toys, further penetrating these markets. We believe BLOKS has built a moat in lower-tier market channels that are difficult to replicate. By deeply integrating classic IPs with modern brick-building techniques, BLOKS effectively satisfies the younger generation's desire for refined collecting and handling of childhood memories, creating a strong emotional bond with users. On the IP front, the company launches "Premium Blokees" centered on major IPs such as DC, Ultraman, and Transformers. With high-fidelity accuracy, these products trigger a sense of nostalgic compensation among consumers born from the 1980s to the 2000s. On the cultural front, based on over 500 patents, BLOKS builds a "Chinese Bricks" system infused with Chinese cultural elements, enhancing the cultural confidence and sense of belonging for a local brand. On the product front, the company emphasizes the assembly experience and high poseability, aligning with current trends in trendy toy consumption, thereby creating unique cultural products that are both display-worthy and collectible. Overall, BLOKS re-presents classic cultural symbols in the form of "building + collecting," establishing differentiated emotional connections and competitive barriers.

Looking ahead, we believe the company will continue to benefit from its moat in lower-tier markets and its globalization strategy. We forecast the company's operating revenue for 2026¡V2028 to be RMB 3.8 billion, RMB 4.76 billion, and RMB 5.8 billion, respectively. EPS is projected at RMB 3.09 / 4.20 / 5.11, corresponding to P/E ratios of 18.3x / 13.5x / 11.1x. We assign a 22x P/E ratio for 2026, resulting in a target price of HKD 78.14. Initiate coverage with a "Buy" rating. (Current price as of April 24)

Risk factors

1. High IP licensing costs, limited contribution from proprietary IPs
The company relies heavily on externally licensed IPs, with only a few proprietary IPs such as HEROSPIRE and MAGIC BLOCKS. Sales of licensed IPs continue to account for a persistently high share, and IP licensing fees represent a significant portion of costs. Moreover, the profit margin of licensed IPs is notably lower than that of proprietary IP models. In comparison, a leading trendy toy giant reported that over 90% of its revenue in the first half of 2025 came from proprietary products (including both proprietary and exclusive IPs), with a full-year gross margin of 72.1% in 2025. Leveraging the cultural attributes and high premium pricing power of its original IPs, this competitor holds a significant advantage in profitability. BLOKS's current business model leans more toward that of a traditional toy manufacturer, and there remains a structural gap in IP monetization efficiency compared to top-tier trendy toy companies.

2. Weak channel pricing control, discounts erode brand premium
Consumers are shifting from purchasing at official original prices to other channels offering higher discounts, reflecting the company's weak control over its channel pricing system. Some unofficial channels offer substantial price markdowns, which may disrupt the unified brand pricing system, thereby affecting overall revenue quality and brand premium power.

3. Intensifying low-price competition, homogenization pressure amplifies earnings volatility
The assembly character toys market is becoming increasingly competitive. Rival products cover the RMB 19¡V99 and 100¡V199 price ranges, with a total SKU count exceeding 10,000 across blind boxes, building blocks, figurines, and other categories, directly competing with BLOKS. BLOKS's core SKU price range is around RMB 40, with some new products dropping to around RMB 10, primarily targeting lower-tier markets. Under intense homogenized competition, price war pressure could lead to a decline in overall sales revenue. Moreover, given that BLOKS's product unit prices are already in the low-to-mid range, further room for price cuts is limited, amplifying the marginal impact on total revenue, and profitability may remain under sustained pressure.

Financial

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(28 April 2026)
Exchange rate: HKD/CNY = 0.87
Source: PSHK Est.

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Recommendation on 28-4-2026
RecommendationBuy
Price on Recommendation Date$ 65.100
Suggested purchase priceN/A
Target Price$ 78.140
Writer Info
Margaret Li
(Analyst)
Tel: +852 2277 6535
Email:
margaretli@phillip.com.hk

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