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26 Feb, 2026 (Thursday)

            
ZENERGY(3677)
Analysis¡G
Zenergy is primarily engaged in lithium-ion battery manufacturing, with a core focus on the research and development, production, and sales of power battery products, energy storage battery products, and aviation battery products. Its power battery products cover BEV, PHEV, EREV, and HEV vehicle models, meeting the requirements of multi-purpose vehicles including sedans, SUVs, and MPVs. Energy storage products span residential energy storage, large-scale energy storage, and commercial & industrial (C&I) energy storage. Aviation battery products are applicable to electric manned fixed-wing aircraft, eVTOL, and similar applications. The Group offers integrated solutions covering battery cells, modules, battery packs, battery clusters/racks, and battery management systems. In addition to solidifying its position in the passenger vehicle power battery market, it is committed to expanding large-scale applications of electrochemical products under the Land-Sea-Air Interconnection (LISA) framework.
The Group¡¦s power battery customers include major central and state-owned enterprises, new energy vehicle startups, and leading multinational OEMs. Its battery supply share in core models of global leaders such as FAW Hongqi, GAC Trumpchi, Leapmotor, SAIC-GM-Wuling, SAIC-GM, GAC Toyota, and Volkswagen (FAW-Volkswagen, SAIC-Volkswagen, Anhui Volkswagen) has continued to rise. The Group is also deeply involved in the development of multiple future-oriented innovative electrification platform projects. Its joint venture, Xinzhongyuan Toyota, supplies a range of lithium-ion and nickel-metal hydride (NiMH) battery packs adapted for HEV vehicles to core HEV models at Toyota¡¦s major joint-venture OEM plants in China. Based on 2024 sales volume, Toyota holds over 70% of the HEV market share in China.
In the energy storage segment, the 104Ah standardized battery cell primarily developed by the Group has become one of the leading supply products for global residential energy storage. Through partnerships, its products are now sold in markets across Asia, Africa, and Latin America. Additionally, the Group¡¦s aviation battery business has achieved phased milestones: it has secured airworthiness certification together with Liaoning Tonghang¡¦s fixed-wing manned electric aircraft RX1E and is on track for large-scale mass production, positioning it as the industry¡¦s first battery supplier for mass-produced and delivered fixed-wing manned aircraft. The currently mass-produced model is the second-generation ¡§Three Highs, One Fast¡¨ aviation power battery, which employs dual semi-solid-state technology. This represents ongoing iteration of the ¡§Three Highs, One Fast¡¨ core performance indicators¡Xhigh safety, high energy density, high power output, and fast charging¡Xfirst pioneered by the Group in the industry in 2023. The Group¡¦s aviation battery products currently hold both AS9100D aviation quality management system certification and aircraft airworthiness certification, providing dual validation of safety and technical capabilities. Dual-certified battery companies can secure a first-mover advantage and better capture opportunities in the future electric aviation market.
In Q2 and Q3 2025, the Group received additional orders and designated projects from its major customers. However, both existing production capacity and the new capacity from Phase I of the Changshu new production plant (upon completion in Q4 2025) have already been fully allocated to orders from other existing customers. Therefore, in October last year, the Group raised approximately HK$500 million through the placement of 45,921,000 new H shares to accelerate capacity expansion¡Xparticularly the construction of Phase II of the new Changshu plant¡Xin order to meet anticipated order demand for 2026 and 2027.(I do not hold the aforementioned stock.)
Strategy¡G
Buy-in Price: $9.20, Target Price: $10.20, Cut Loss Price: $8.70


LYGEND RESOURCE(2245)
Analysis¡G
The Company is a nickel full industry chain company, with business covering nickel ore and nickel iron trade, smelting production, equipment manufacturing, and sales. In the field of nickel product trade, according to the Zhuoshi report, the company's nickel ore trade volume ranked fourth globally in 2020 and first in China. Since 2017, the Company has been involved in nickel cobalt smelting plants, including wet smelting and pyrometallurgy. The Company has fully utilized its resource advantages, forward-looking layout of the Indonesian industry, and taken the lead in realizing the production of wet smelting projects, with obvious first mover advantages. Starting from 2021, the production capacity of Indonesia's nickel HPAL project has gradually been implemented, and the performance has entered a period of high-speed growth. In the first half of 2025, the Company recorded a revenue of RMB 18.15 billion, a yoy increase of 66.8%, and a net profit attributable to the parent company of RMB 1.43 billion, a yoy increase of 143.0%. With the steady release of production capacity from the HPAL project, the Company has further deepened its strategic cooperation with mainstream global precursor and cathode material companies, signed multiple long-term agreements, and provided strong support for future performance growth. Starting in 2026, Indonesia will significantly tighten nickel mining quotas, which is expected to have a profound impact on the future global nickel price trend. As a global leader in nickel and cobalt, the Company is likely to benefit from rising nickel prices in the long term.
Strategy¡G
Buy-in Price: $28.47, Target Price: $33.10, Cut Loss Price: $26.00



XIMEI RESOURCES (9936.HK) - With the high growth in demand for tantalum and niobium in the market, the company is poised to embark on a long-term growth trajectory

Overview

The company is a manufacturer of tantalum and niobium metallurgical products in China. These products are essential for downstream manufacturing used in various high-tech industries such as specialty alloys, chemicals, electronic ceramics, aerospace, high-end electronic consumer goods, national defense, and cemented carbide. The company's main products are tantalum oxide and niobium oxide. The company also produces and sells potassium flutantalate. The company processes its products to different purities and specifications to meet the demands of various end products. Additionally, the company sells processed products such as tantalum bars, carbon oxide, niobium bars, and niobium powder by either commissioning third-party metallurgical companies to process its pentoxide products and potassium fluotantalate, or by purchasing these processed goods from third-party metallurgical companies. Furthermore, the company provides processing services to convert tantalum and niobium ores provided by customers into pentoxide products and potassium fluotantalate.

Analysis of the Tantalum and Niobium Industry Chain

Highly Concentrated Upstream Resources with Heavy Reliance on Imports
The upstream segment of the tantalum and niobium industry involves ore mining and processing, with global resource distribution being highly concentrated. The supply of raw materials consists of four parts: tantalum and niobium concentrates, tin slag, lithium ore by-products, and tantalum and niobium recycled materials. According to data from Antaike, from 2020 to 2024, global tantalum mine production increased from 1,700 metric tons (metal content) to 2,500 metric tons (metal content), representing an average annual growth rate of 4.5%. The Great Lakes Region in Central Africa (including the Democratic Republic of the Congo, Rwanda, Ethiopia, Mozambique, and other countries) has become a significant global source of tantalum raw materials. Relying on surface outcrop ores and manual operations, this region holds a 68% market share. In 2024, the world's largest tantalum mine producer was the Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC), accounting for 40% of global output, followed by Rwanda (22%), Brazil (18.4%), and Nigeria (6.2%). The combined production share of these four countries reached as high as 86.6%. In China, the only tantalum mine currently achieving large-scale mining is the Yichun Tantalum-Niobium Mine. During the same period, global niobium mine production increased from 68,000 metric tons (metal content) to 87,000 metric tons (metal content), with an average annual growth rate of 5.1%. Brazil is the world's largest niobium mine producer, with its output rising from 60,000 metric tons (metal content) in 2020 to 78,000 metric tons (metal content) in 2024, an average annual increase of 4.5%. As a major consumer of tantalum and niobium, China's supply remains highly dependent on imports. According to statistics, by 2024, China's import value in the tantalum and niobium industry was 8.976 billion RMB yuan, while the export value was 1.366 billion RMB yuan.

Midstream Full-Industry-Chain Layout Becomes Key, with Technological Barriers Building Competitive Advantage
The midstream sector encompasses hydrometallurgy (extracting oxides), pyrometallurgy (preparing alloys), and the processing of high-end products. Leading domestic companies have formed a technological monopoly (closed-loop system), resulting in an oligopolistic market structure. Key players include OTIC (the largest production base for tantalum and niobium products in China and a technology- leading research center for these metals), CMOC Group (a globally leading producer of copper, cobalt, molybdenum, tungsten, and niobium, which indirectly holds a 100% interest in the Brazil NML niobium mine; this mine's operations cover the exploration, mining, extraction, processing, and sale of niobium ore, with its main product being ferroniobium), and XIMEI RESOURCES.

Surge in Demand from Downstream High-End Sectors, Offering Structural Growth Opportunities

"Downstream

Data Source: Pu Hua You Ce Consulting, QYResearch, Global Market Insights

Profit Efficiency Significantly Improved

In the first half of 2025, the company's revenue was 954 million RMB (similarly hereinafter), representing a year-on-year increase of 5.7%. This was primarily attributable to the company's active adjustment of its product mix, with significant year-on-year growth in metal products, especially niobium metal products, and trading business during the period. Specifically, revenue from tantalum and niobium wet-method compounds was 234 million RMB, accounting for 24.5%; revenue from tantalum and niobium metals and related products was 505 million RMB, accounting for 52.9%; and revenue from trading products, processing services, and others was 216 million RMB, accounting for 22.6%. The gross profit margin was 23.7%, a year-on-year increase of 2.6 percentage points. This improvement was mainly due to the further release of production capacity during the review period, an increase in the sales proportion of metal products, particularly high-purity metals. Additionally, the company strengthened process controls and enhanced efficiency in production, including the utilization of recycled materials and by-products, driving cost reduction and efficiency gains, thereby increasing the gross profit margin. Net profit attributable to owners of the parent was 92 million RMB, a year-on-year increase of 47.5%, reflecting a significant improvement in profit efficiency.

Decrease in Expense Ratio, Optimizing Operational Efficiency

In H1 2025, sales and distribution expenses amounted to RMB 9.725 million, a year-on-year decrease of 1.2%, primarily due to a slight reduction in employee costs. Administrative expenses totaled RMB 73.938 million, down 15.5% year-on-year, mainly attributable to the conclusion of certain R&D projects. This demonstrates the company's ability to reduce costs through refined management, further unlocking profit margins.

Sound Assets and Liabilities Position, Slight Liquidity Pressure

As of the end of June 2025, the company's total assets stood at RMB 2.387 billion, with a debt to asset ratio of 42.1%, remaining at a reasonable level. However, both the current ratio and quick ratio declined compared to the end of 2024, indicating slight pressure on short-term liquidity. The decrease in the current ratio was primarily due to an increase in inventory. The decline in the quick ratio reflects a rise in the proportion of inventory within current assets. Net cash flow from operating activities was RMB 176 million, and capital expenditure amounted to RMB 14.17 million, indicating that cash flow is sufficient to support daily operations and capacity expansion needs.

Ganfeng's Strong Backing: Resource and Technology Synergies Unlock Long-Term Growth Potential for XIMEI RESOURCES

Ganfeng Lithium currently holds a 15.79% stake in XIMEI RESOURCES, making it the second-largest shareholder. As a global leader in the lithium industry, Ganfeng Lithium has long focused on the new energy metals industry chain. Tantalum and niobium, as critical materials for high-end fields such as semiconductors and aerospace, fall within the same strategic metals category as lithium resources. Through its stake in XIMEI RESOURCES, Ganfeng Lithium likely aims to expand its footprint in strategic metals, forming a diversified resource portfolio of "lithium + tantalum/niobium," while leveraging XIMEI RESOURCES' technological expertise in tantalum and niobium metallurgy to enhance industrial chain synergies in the advanced materials sector. Furthermore, Ganfeng Lithium's shareholding endorsement helps boost market confidence.

Company valuation

As a core producer of tantalum and niobium metallurgical products in China, Framework Resources is poised to benefit from the growth in high-end downstream demand for tantalum and niobium (semiconductors, aerospace), enabling it to embark on a long-term growth trajectory and achieve performance increases. We forecast the company's revenue for 2025-2027 to be RMB 1.943 billion, RMB 2.159 billion, and RMB 2.340 billion, respectively, with EPS of RMB 0.54, RMB 0.57, and RMB 0.62. We assign a 24x P/E ratio for 2026, resulting in a target price of HKD 14.25. Initiate coverage with an "Accumulate" rating. (Current price as of February 25)

Risk factors

1) Pace of domestic substitution; 2) Risk of overseas supply chain volatility; 3) Intensifying technological competition

Financial

"Financial
"Financial

(Current Price as of: 25 Feb 2026)
Exchange rate: HKD/RMB = 0.88
Source¡G PSHK Est.

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Recommendation on 26-2-2026
RecommendationAccumulate
Price on Recommendation Date$ 14.220
Suggested purchase priceN/A
Target Price$ 15.550
Writer Info
Margaret Li
(Analyst)
Tel: 22776535
Email:
margaretli@phillip.com.hk

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