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7 Oct, 2015 (Wednesday)

            
FORDOO(2399)
Analysis¡G
China Fordoo Holdings (2399) has announced the results of the sales fair for the 2016 spring/summer collections of the Group held in September 2015. Compared with the purchase orders for the Group's 2015 spring/summer collections, purchase orders for the Group's 2016 spring/summer collections reflected a continued upward trend and recorded an increase of over 8%, which is to a large extent driven by the growth in the Group's new men's casual fashion series. Other initiatives taken by the Group include developing its own quality fabrics. The new fabric machines are expected to continue to drive revenue for the second half of the year. The Group will continue to upgrade and unify the layout and design of the retail stores operated by its distributors and sub-distributors in phases, so as to enhance and reinforce its brand image. (I do not hold the above stock)
Strategy¡G
Buy-in Price: $3.50, Target Price: $3.90, Cut Loss Price: $3.30


Singyes Solar (750.HK) - Still positive on the Company's Development

Earnings Slightly Worse than Expected

The company reported a revenue of RMB2.18 billion, which was down 5% yoy while its gross margin was up by 3.2% yoy to RMB508 million. Net profit attributable to shareholders increased by 7.7% to RMB223 million. EPS was RMB0.32, which was slightly lower than our expectation mainly due to a sharp decline in the revenue from the curtain wall business.

A Significant Decline in the Curtain Wall Business

The reported revenue from the traditional curtain wall business shrank by 34.2% yoy to RMB600 million, of which contribution from commercial and industrial buildings sharply fell by 47.2% yoy to RMB327 million. The main reason was that the lackluster outlook of the commercial and industrial sector led to a significant decline in the scale of construction of this type of projects. The gross margin of the curtain wall business was stable at 15.9%, vs 16.1% achieved in the same period of last year. The company has already developed overseas markets for this business to reduce the risks associated with a slowing domestic economy.

Strong Growth for the Solar EPC Business

The reported revenue of the company's solar EPC business grew by 39% yoy to RMB1.03 billion, which almost offset the decline in the curtain wall business. Its profitability was stable, with gross margin being up by 0.4%-point yoy to 28.7%. On 29 June, the company announced that it obtained approximately 470MW of permits from the Chinese government, from which approximately 350MW of solar EPC order could be brought to the company in H2. Currently, solar operators are competing to expand their business. It is expected that solar EPC order will continue to grow in future.

Valuation

Since 2015, the share price of the company has dropped significantly, which has mainly reflected over pessimism of the market towards the company's curtain wall business as well as issues related to the solar EPC industry, such as a possible increase in grid curtailment and uncertainties over subsidy of solar energy. We have downgraded our target price to HKD8, which is equivalent to a prospective 2016 P/E ratio of 8x. We recommend a ¡§BUY¡¨ rating. (Closing price as at 5 Oct 2015)

Financials

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Recommendation on 7-10-2015
RecommendationBuy
Price on Recommendation Date$ 5.450
Suggested purchase priceN/A
Target Price$ 8.000
Writer Info
Zhang Kun
(Research Analyst)
Tel: (+ 86 21 51699400-104)
Email:
zhangkun@phillip.com.cn

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Phillip Research - Hong Kong ½÷¥ß¬ã¨s³¡ ¡V ­»´ä¤Î¤¤°ê
Company Stock Code Last Update Suggestion Target Price Price on Recom
Mainland Financial Xingyu Chen (86) 2151698900-105chenxingyu@phillip.com.cn
CITIC Securities603030/09/2015Buy2014
Industrial Bank60116622/09/2015Buy2014.51
Transportation and Automobiles Zhang Jing (86) 2151699200-103zhangjing@phillip.com.cn
Geely17502/10/2015BUY4.453.69
JAC60041815/09/2015Buy16.212.28
Mainland Property Geng Chen (86) 2151699400-107chengeng@phillip.com.cn
China World Trade Center60000706/10/2015Accumulate15.513.7
SHENZHEN INVESTMENT60424/09/2015Accumulate3.22.87
Insurance Xingyu Chen (86) 2151699400-105chenxingyu@phillip.com.cn
Properties  
LESSO212823/09/2015Buy7.96.02
FORTUNE REIT77814/10/2014Accumulate7.326.92
Local Financials Xingyu Chen (86) 2151698900-105chenxingyu@phillip.com.cn
HSBC509/08/2013Accumulate100.484.25
HSBC Holdings PLC000509/05/2013Accumulate9587.7
Health & Personal Care Fan Guohe  (+ 86 21 51699400-110)fanguohe@phillip.com.cn
Yibai Pharmaceutical60059429/09/2015Buy21.5515.9
Tasly Pharmaceutical Group60053525/08/2015Buy 53.0838.73
Hotels and Entertainment Geng Chen (86) 2151699400-107chengeng@phillip.com.cn
Galaxy Entertainment2708/07/2015Buy4233.55
Galaxy Entertainment2728/05/2015Accumulate 4238.8
New Energy  
Singyes Solar75007/10/2015Buy8.000.000
Beijing Enterprise Water37125/09/2015Buy7.985.46
Food, Beverage and Retail  
Inner Mongolia Yili Industrial Group60088721/07/2015BUY26.418.99
China Tianyi Holdings75620/07/2015Buy21.13
Telecommunications  
PAX Global Technology Limited32718/09/2015BUY118
Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corporation98111/09/2015Buy0.90.71
Oil and Gas Geng Chen (86) 2151699400-107chengeng@phillip.com.cn
TSC GROUP20628/07/2015Buy2.82.11
SPT Energy125124/02/2015Reduce1.51.74
Software & Service  
Goldpac Group331518/02/2015N/A4.77
KINGDEE INT`L26802/12/2014Accumulate2.752.45

Information contained herein is based on sources that Phillip Securities (Hong Kong) Limited and/or its affiliates ( the ¡§Group¡¨) believe to be accurate. The Group does not bear responsibility for any loss occasioned by reliance placed upon the contents hereof. The Group (or its employees) may have interests in relevant investment products. For details of different products¡¦ risks, please view the Risk Disclosures Statement on http://www.phillip.com.hk.

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