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2 Jul, 2015 (Thursday)


ICBC(1398)
Analysis¡G
By the end of March 2015, net profit of ICBC was RMB74.324 billion, up 1.39% y-y slightly, equivalent to the EPS of RMB0.21. The asset quality decreased due to the large expansion of loans in recent years. By the end of 1Q2015, the NPL ratio increased by 0.16ppts to 1.29% compared with the end of 2014. Meanwhile, coverage ratio declined 26.49ppts to 180.41%. Overall, ICBC's performance maintains stable, and faces two main issues, one is the risk of the deterioration of the asset quality, and the other is the slow-down of profit growth, but we hold a cautiously optimistic view for the price performance in future considering the large adjustment recently, and increase ICBC's 12-m target price to HK$7.00. Recommend Accumulate rating.
Strategy¡G
Buy-in Price: $6.16, Target Price: $7.00, Cut Loss Price: $5.20


Report Review of June. 2015

Sectors:

Mainland financial, Utilities (Xingyu Chen), Mainland Telecom (Fanguohe),Mainland property, Oil and gas service (Chengeng), Air, Automobiles, Infrastructure (ZhangJing), New energy & Environmental Goods (Zhang Kun)

Mainland Financial (Xingyu Chen)

The market continued to go down in June, HSI decreased from 27,600 at the beginning of this month to 26,300 currently, down 4.7% approximately. According to the performance, the banks` share prices maintained the same trend as the market this month, and most of them declined. H Shares was weak due to off-season in June and the large volatility in A Shares recently.

We believe the banks` operating performance still maintains at the stable level, and share price performance meets our expectation. Considering the large adjustment recently, the banks would be more attractive for conservative investors, and therefore we still hold the cautiously optimistic view on the banks` prices in future. Maintain the banking sector on Buy rating.

Mainland Telecom (Fan guohe)

This month I released 5 equity reports including, Trigiant Group (1300.HK), Tongda group (698.HK), Kangmei Pharmaceutical (600518.CH), YOFC (6869.HK) and NetDragon (777.HK). We prefer NetDragon with the more attractive future. NetDragon is a developer and operator of online games and mobile Internet platform, and its success can be attributed to multiple qualities. First, the Company's management has international horizon and keen understanding of the market. Next, the Company has outstanding R&D capability. Lastly, the Company has shown forward-looking vision by positioning accurately and seizing the opportunity. We think the success gene that the Company has developed in its 17173 online games portal and 91 assistant platform will be introduced in online education business, and that its integrated solution for K12 teaching and learning aims to change the boring teaching in the traditional education system and raise students` learning competence. Taking into account the huge potential of the online education and the in-depth cooperation between the Company and top education companies and institutions, it is very likely that the Company becomes a leading K12 online education company in the near future.

Mainland Property & Oil/Gas service (Chen geng)

Automobile & Air (ZhangJing)

This month I released 4 equity reports including, Caeri (601965.CH), Baoxin (1293.HK), GAC (2238.HK) and BYD (1211.HK). We prefer Baoxin with the more attractive future. BMW China and Brilliance BMW both released a letter to their dealers, announcing to bring down sales target and we think that this move will have a positive effect on helping BMW dealers reduce stocks and improve their bottom line. On the other hand, new Measures for Automobile Sales Management, soon to come out, is expected to give more say to dealers in terms of agreement duration, withdrawal mechanism and automotive parts management. Again, we believe that the new regulation is beneficial for protecting the interests of dealers and for the improvement of their survival environment. We revised the target price to 6.86, respectively 13/11x P/E for 2015/2016.

New energy & Environmental protection (ZhangKun)

We updated four reports in this month, they were Concord NE(182.HK),Goldwind (2208.HK),GCL New Energy(451.HK) and Longking Env (600388.SH).We recommend GCL New Energy, With the backing up of GCL, the company has technology advantages in PV power plant construction and operation while enjoying the preference of material supply from GCL-POLY and GCL System Integration. The three years to come will see the company have a significant increase of installed capacity. Calculated on the basis of 2.6GW and 35% net profit margin to be achieved supposedly at the end of 2015, the company is estimated to record revenues of HK$3.333 billion from electricity sales and net profit of HK$1.167 billion for the electricity sale operaion. Without considering convertible bonds, its current stock price is 8.8X PE. We set its target price for the next 12 months at HK$1.61, equivalent to 15X PE expected for 2016. We give the company a ¡§Buy¡¨ rating.

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Phillip Research - Hong Kong ½÷¥ß¬ã¨s³¡ ¡V ­»´ä¤Î¤¤°ê
Company Stock Code Last Update Suggestion Target Price Price on Recom
Mainland Financial Xingyu Chen (86) 2151698900-105chenxingyu@phillip.com.cn
Report Review of June. 201502/07/20150.000
Harbin Bank613825/06/2015Buy3.852.91
Transportation and Automobiles Zhang Jing (86) 2151699200-103zhangjing@phillip.com.cn
On Time Logistics612329/06/2015Buy2.21.73
BYD121124/06/2015Accumulate5549.2
Mainland Property Geng Chen (86) 2151699400-107chengeng@phillip.com.cn
Colour Life177823/06/2015Buy13.89.8
FANTASIA177704/06/2015Buy1.81.37
Insurance Xingyu Chen (86) 2151699400-105chenxingyu@phillip.com.cn
Properties  
FORTUNE REIT77814/10/2014Accumulate7.326.92
Hysan Development001418/03/2014Accumulate36.833.35
Local Financials Xingyu Chen (86) 2151698900-105chenxingyu@phillip.com.cn
HSBC509/08/2013Accumulate100.484.25
HSBC Holdings PLC000509/05/2013Accumulate9587.7
Health & Personal Care Fan Guohe  (+ 86 21 51699400-110)fanguohe@phillip.com.cn
Kangmei Pharmaceutical60051816/06/2015BUY 62.4449.98
Zhongxin Pharmaceuticals60032912/05/2015Hold23.6422.89
Hotels and Entertainment Geng Chen (86) 2151699400-107chengeng@phillip.com.cn
Galaxy Entertainment2728/05/2015Accumulate 4238.8
Wisdom Group166105/01/2015BUY6.554.6
New Energy  
Longking ENV60038830/06/2015Accumulate22.519.12
GCL New Energy45118/06/2015Buy 1.610.76
Food, Beverage and Retail  
Samsonite International SA191011/06/2015Accumulate3026.05
Samsonite International SA191026/03/2015Accumulate30
Telecommunications  
NetDragon Websoft Inc.77726/06/2015Accumulate40.4734.45
Tongda Group69822/06/2015Accumulate1.71.51
Oil and Gas Geng Chen (86) 2151699400-107chengeng@phillip.com.cn
SPT Energy125124/02/2015Reduce1.51.74
CIMC ENRIC389927/10/2014Buy107.67
Software & Service  
Goldpac Group331518/02/2015N/A4.77
KINGDEE INT`L26802/12/2014Accumulate2.752.45

Information contained herein is based on sources that Phillip Securities (Hong Kong) Limited and/or its affiliates ( the ¡§Group¡¨) believe to be accurate. The Group does not bear responsibility for any loss occasioned by reliance placed upon the contents hereof. The Group (or its employees) may have interests in relevant investment products. For details of different products¡¦ risks, please view the Risk Disclosures Statement on http://www.phillip.com.hk.

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