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22 Oct, 2014 (Wednesday)

            
SAM WOO CONS(3822)
Analysis¡G
Sam Woo Construction (3822) was principally engaged in foundation works and ancillary services, which had over 20 years experience in the foundation industry in Hong Kong. As at September this year, the Group had on hand 16 foundation projects and ancillary services, including 13 projects in Hong Kong and 3 projects in Macau. The total contract value on hand was approximately HK$ 1.348 billion. In the past three years, the Group`s business showed rapid growth, which revenues were HK$ 98.42 million, HK$ 375 million and HK$ 492 million; profit attributable to shareholder were HK$ 24.2 million, HK$ 55.62 million and HK$ 127 million; gross profit margins were 33.2%, 27.3% and 33.6%. The company`s historical PE was only about 4.9 times. (I do not hold the above stock)
Strategy¡G
Buy-in Price: $1.50, Target Price: $1.85, Cut Loss Price: $1.40

CTEG(1363)
Analysis¡G
The 4-day Fourth Plenary Session started. We expected in addition to promote the theme of "rule by law", to punish the officials who had broken the law and discipline, there would also have measures to further support the economy. PRC government announced yesterday, the third quarter GDP grew 7.3%, compared to 7.4% and 7.5% in the first quarter and second quarter, the growth rate slightly slowed. If the government wants to achieve the 7.5% annual GDP growth target, we believe more economic supporting policies would be released in the fourth quarter. Yesterday there was also the news on the implementation of "new environmental law", which favored environmental protection companies, such as CT Environmental (1363) was actively acquiring peer companies in the hope to grab the market share in this huge potential market.
Strategy¡G
Buy-in Price: $7.00, Target Price: $7.75, Cut Loss Price: $6.70


SINOSOFT TECH (1297.HK) - National policy favors the company

„h Sinosoft¡¦s 1H14 revenue up 27.7% yoy while gross profit grew 39.4% yoy. GPM sharply increased 6.14 ppt. to 73.25% and net profit rose 52.7% yoy. EPS amounted to RMB 4.47 cents, no interim dividend.

„h Benefited by the national policy on carbon emission trading, and cooperation with environmental protection companies, the carbon management solution is expected the future growth momentum.

„h The PRC government supports to local IT service providers enabled the company to grab market share from foreign leading companies.

„h We maintain the rating of Sinosoft as ¡§Accumulate¡¨ and increase the target price to HK$ 2.94, equivalent to 15x/12.7x of 2014 and 2015 forecasted EPS, plus cash per share of HK$ 0.29.

Financial Highlights

The growth on Sinosoft speeded up in the 1H14. Revenue reached RMB 133 mn, up 27.7% yoy while gross profit grew 39.4% yoy to RMB 97 mn. Both of them were accelerated when compared to 2013 full year results. Gross profit margin sharply increased 6.14 ppt. to 73.25% and net profit rose 52.7% yoy to RMB 46 mn both showed better cost control in the first half. Earnings per share amounted to RMB 4.47 cents, no interim dividend.

How we view this

The accelerated revenue growth was mainly contributed by the growth on export tax software and carbon management solutions, which yearly grew 42.9% and 39.4% respectively. Margins also sharply improved in 1H14, but we expect the GPM to go down since the company used to put in heavy selling effort and promotions in the second half. Meanwhile, we are optimistic about the future growth on the carbon management solution due to the national policy on carbon emission trading. Sinosoft had collaborated with the subsidiary of China Energy Conservation and Environmental Protection Group (CECEP Group) to develop system and platform on the carbon related solutions.

Investment Action

Previously, the foreign IT solution companies, such as Oracle, IBM and Microsoft dominated the IT service market in mainland. But the PRC government had recently increased its concerns on the Internet information security, and tried to employ more local software, which allowed the local IT service providers to grab more market share. Thus, we maintain the rating of Sinosoft as ¡§Accumulate¡¨ and increase the target price to HK$ 2.94, equivalent to 15x/12.7x of 2014 and 2015 forecasted EPS, plus cash per share of HK$ 0.29.

Export tax software and carbon management business remained high growth

Sinosoft had obtained good results, revenue growth rate accelerated, which mainly contributed by the export tax software and carbon management solution business. The export tax business was once the largest revenue contributor before the merger of e-Government and information integration. The consulting and training services of export tax became significant sources of income.

The carbon management solution started at 2011 and achieved rapid growth in these years. According to company¡¦s listing prospectus, there were only three companies which provided carbon related monitoring software in 2012, and it was the only one provider in Jiangsu Province. It is expected the revenue from carbon management business will surpass the declining system integration business at the end of this year and gradually becomes the second largest revenue contributor to Sinosoft.

According to the China International Software & Information Service Fair (CISIS), it is predicted that the investment in information security by private companies will increase by 30% this year, while government and enterprises is projected to spend 7.8% more on software purchase.

Potential Risks

High competition on the integration solution business;

The growth on carbon management solution slowdown.

Financial Status

Financial Status

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Recommendation on 22-10-2014
RecommendationAccumulate
Price on Recommendation Date$ 2.590
Suggested purchase priceN/A
Target Price$ 2.940
Writer Info
Kay Ng
(Research Analyst)
Tel: +852 2277 6751
Email:
kayng@phillip.com.hk

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Phillip Research - Hong Kong ½÷¥ß¬ã¨s³¡ ¡V ­»´ä¤Î¤¤°ê
Company Stock Code Last Update Suggestion Target Price Price on Recom
Mainland Financial Xingyu Chen (86) 2151698900-105chenxingyu@phillip.com.cn
Agile Property338317/10/2014Neutral3.83.96
Chongqing Rural Commercial Bank361809/10/2014Buy4.853.59
Transportation and Automobiles Zhang Jing (86) 2151699200-103zhangjing@phillip.com.cn
Air China75320/10/2014Accumulate5.164.56
China Eastern Airlines67013/10/2014Accumulate2.812.65
Mainland Property Geng Chen (86) 2151699400-107chengeng@phillip.com.cn
Wanda Commercial Properties Group16929/09/2014Accumulate21.73
Color Life177822/09/2014Buy86.58
Insurance Xingyu Chen (86) 2151699400-105chenxingyu@phillip.com.cn
New China Insurance133615/08/2014Buy36.628
New China Insurance133616/07/2013Buy30.1422.2
Properties  
FORTUNE REIT77814/10/2014Accumulate7.326.92
China State Construction International Holdings Ltd331116/05/2014Buy15.813.16
Hotels and Entertainment Geng Chen (86) 2151699400-107chengeng@phillip.com.cn
Galaxy Entertainment2716/07/2014Accumulate7262.95
Galaxy Entertainment Group2716/04/2014Accumulate7868.7
New Energy  
China Suntien Green Energy95621/10/2014Buy2.331.93
GCL Poly380007/10/2014Buy3.752.88
Food, Beverage and Retail  
Sa Sa International17816/09/2014Reduce5.075.81
Samsonite International SA191012/09/2014Accumulate3126.55
Telecommunications  
ZTE Corporation76316/10/2014Buy21.5816.68
ZTE Corporation76315/10/2014Buy21.5816.68
Oil and Gas Geng Chen (86) 2151699400-107chengeng@phillip.com.cn
Anton Oilfield Service333710/10/2014Neutral2.22.29
Jutal Offshore Oil Services330303/09/2014Buy3.83.04
Software & Service Kay Ng (852) 2277 6751kayng@phillip.com.hk
SINOSOFT TECH129722/10/2014Accumulate2.940.000
IGG800206/10/2014Accumulate3.953.47

Information contained herein is based on sources that Phillip Securities (Hong Kong) Limited and/or its affiliates ( the ¡§Group¡¨) believe to be accurate. The Group does not bear responsibility for any loss occasioned by reliance placed upon the contents hereof. The Group (or its employees) may have interests in relevant investment products. For details of different products¡¦ risks, please view the Risk Disclosures Statement on http://www.phillip.com.hk.

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