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XPENG(9868)
Analysis¡G
According to the data from CPCA, the retail sales of new energy vehicles (NEVs) in the passenger car market reached 864,000 units in June, a year-on-year increase of 30% and a month-on-month increase of 6%. The cumulative retail sales for the year reached 4.119 million units, a year-on-year increase of 33%. In June, the wholesale volume of NEVs from passenger car manufacturers nationwide reached 975,000 units, a year-on-year increase of 28% and a month-on-month increase of 8%. The cumulative wholesale volume for the year reached 4.612 million units, a year-on-year increase of 30%. XPeng was officially founded in 2015, focusing on the research and development of internet electric vehicles for young people in first-tier cities. The company has consistently invested heavily in research and development to build its full-stack self-developed core capabilities. In June 2024, XPeng delivered a total of 10,668 new vehicles, a year-on-year increase of 24% and a month-on-month increase of 5%. From January to June 2024, XPeng delivered a total of 52,028 new vehicles, a year-on-year increase of 26%. On July 3rd, XPeng, in collaboration with Didi, officially unveiled the XPeng MONA M03, a new compact all-electric vehicle, at its global debut. Positioned in the 100,000 to 150,000 yuan price range, the new car is expected to be launched and delivered within the third quarter. As an A-class all-electric coupe within the 200,000 yuan range, the XPeng MONA M03 further enriches the company`s product lineup. It also boasts the lowest drag coefficient among global mass-produced vehicles in its class, with a coefficient of only 0.194. The integration of intelligent driving algorithms and the pace of model launches are expected to help the company achieve a turnaround in financial performance.
Strategy¡G
Buy-in Price: $31.35, Target Price: $34.50, Cut Loss Price: $28.40
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Report Review of June 2024
Sectors: TMT, Semiconductors, Consumer & Healthcare ¡]Eric Li¡^ TMT, Semiconductors, Consumer, Healthcare (Eric Li)This month I released reports of Hengan (1044.HK). For the year ended 31 December 2023 (FY2023), Hengan's revenue increased by 5.1% to RMB23,768mn, above market expectation. During the year, operating profit increased significantly by 38.6% to RMB3,978mn (FY2022: RMB2,869mn). Although the depreciation of the Renminbi against the US dollar and the HK dollar during the year resulted in an operating foreign exchange loss after tax of RMB150mn, the loss was significantly reduced by about 83.6% compared with the operating FX loss before tax of RMB901mn in 2022. Therefore, profit attributable to shareholders of the Company was RMB2,801mn (FY2022: RMB1,925mn), representing a significant yoy increase of 45.5%. Excluding the operating FX loss after tax, profit attributable to shareholders of the Company increased by 4.3% yoy, mainly reflecting the improvement in the company's gross profit margin as a result of the decline in the cost of wood pulp and upgrades of products. Basic EPS was RMB2.415 (FY2022: RMB1.657), with full-year dividend RMB1.40 per share, unchanged yoy. During the year under review, raw material prices dropped in the second half of the year, leading to intensified market promotions and price competition. The decline in the price of wood pulp, the main raw material for tissue paper, in the second half of the year compared to the first half of the year, coupled with the robust growth in the company's upgraded products and premium product series resulted in a significant improvement in the gross profit of the tissue paper business. FY2023, the company's overall gross profit increased by 4.2% to RMB8,011mn (FY2022:RMB7,689mn). Although the gross profit margin was under pressure in the 1HFY2023, the overall gross profit margin for the full year still recorded at 33.7% (FY2022: 34.0%), almost consistent with last year. Gross profit the 2HFY2023 even significantly improved to 36.5% (2HFY2022: 32.8%). It is expected that in 2024, premium high margin products will continue to experience significant growth, leading to a continuous improvement in the gross profit margin. Despite a challenging operating environment, Hengan leverages its strong comprehensive competitive advantages and effective profit-focused sales strategies to continue expanding its market share and further solidify its robust business resilience. The company's three core business segments¡Xtissue paper, sanitary napkins, and diapers¡Xhave maintained steady growth in revenue over the past two years. The decline in raw material prices in the second half of last year intensified industry marketing and price competition. However, the company prudently allocated promotional resources and continued to record significant growth in high-end, high-margin products. Gross profit margins are expected to remain stable. Hengan maintains a healthy financial condition with a significant improvement in its debt ratio to 69.8%, placing it in a net cash position. 
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