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20 May, 2013 (Monday)

            
ZHONGYU GAS(3633)
Analysis¡G
ZHONGYU GAS (3633) 1Q net profit increased 9% only, disappointing the market. On last Thursday, the price gap fell more than 8%. However, the group`s business performance is good, especially the number of compressed natural gas filling stations will increase to 17 in 2 years. Apart from that for ensuring the piped gas projects can adequate a cost-effective gas supply and improving profitability, the group is focusing on the development of CBM business.
Strategy¡G
Buy-in Price: $2.40, Target Price: $2.65, Cut Loss Price: $2.30

X ISHARES A50(2823)
Analysis¡G
Some news reported that China will launch a new round of economic reform, the President Xi Jinping personally presided over the drafting of the reform plan to revive the economy. The reform will cover the financial sector, financial system, land use rights, the prices of production factors, simplification of administrative examination and approval procedures, social income inequality and the household registration system. Coupled with the market has been gradually digest the People`s Bank repo and IPO resumption, A shares is going to rebound in short term.
Strategy¡G
Buy-in Price: $10.50, Target Price: $11.00, Cut Loss Price: $10.10


ChinaGas (0384.HK) - Target price has been reached, maintain `accumulate` rating

Company profile

China Gas Holdings Limited is a natural gas services operator listed on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange. It engages principally in investment, operation, and management of urban gas pipeline infrastructure, distribution of natural gas to residential and industrial users, construction and operation of oil stations and gas stations, and development and application of technologies related to oil and natural gas in mainland China. It has been named China's largest cross-regional urban gas distributor and gas operator integrating the distribution of pipeline-based natural gas and liquefied petroleum gas (LPG).

Investment Overview

For the year 2012, the Company reached an operation revenue of HK$18.934 billion, representing an increase of 19.4% when compared to HK$15.862 billion in 2011, and the net profit significantly increased by 52.4% to HK$954 million from HK$626 million in 2011; amount to a basic earnings per share for HK$0.22.

The sales revenue of pipeline gas business rose by 37.2% to HK$7.662 billion, and the proportion of the Company's total revenue increased to 40.5%. In 2012, the Company's total sales of natural gas reached 5.563 billion m3, up 25% over the previous year. Gases used for industrial, commercial, residential, and CNG automobile purposes respectively accounted for 66.6%, 11.5%, 12.7% and 9.2% of the Company's sales.

The Company's LPG business in 2012 recorded the sales revenue of HK$7.993 billion, increasing by 20.1%; the operating earnings turned from deficits to profit, growing from the loss of HK$22.4 million in 2011 to the profit of HK$80.7 billion. The LPG sales fell by 9.2% to 894,000 tons.

The "Twelfth Five-year" plan for natural gas has shown that the market-oriented pricing mechanism will be formed as soon as possible. It is expected that the upstream enterprises will raise the factory price of natural gas, while the end-user price of natural gas will not experience a sharp increase in the short period of time subject to the intervention of the government. Nevertheless, as residential users share a small share of the natural gas market, the influences from the government's price fixing policy will not be obvious, making the downstream distribution enterprises have somewhat pricing power. Management also expected to transfer additional costs to the end users in a timely manner.

A strategic cooperation framework agreement has been entered into between the Company and Sinopec, according to which a joint venture company will be set up to expand the LPG market and operate a gas pipeline project for large cities. We believe that the Company will benefit from the huge distribution network of Sinopec, by giving full play to which the future profit margin and market share of the Company's LPG business will have a big room for improvement. For natural gas business, Sinopec will also help the Company to build its distribution network, and ensure the upstream supply.

The Company's steadily increasing performance has lived up to our expectation, and its share price has also reached the target price that we have set previously. On the whole, we remain strongly optimistic about the Company's performance in 2013. All things considered, we raise the Company's six-month target price to HK$9.17 and maintain an "Accumulate" rating.

Financial Statements and Predictions

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Recommendation on 20-5-2013
RecommendationAccumulate
Price on Recommendation Date$ 7.990
Suggested purchase priceN/A
Target Price$ 9.170
Writer Info
Research Team
Tel: +0086 (0)21 6351 2937
Email:
libin@phillip.com.cn

Local Index
       Index    Change   Change%
HSI23082.6838.440.17%  
Turnover608.02--  
HSCEI11019.48-63.81-0.58%  
HSCAI4407.29-3.49-0.08%  
FHHI 122973.0045.000.20%  
FHHI 222969.0041.000.17%  

World Index
       Index    Change   Change%
Dow15354.40121.180.80%  
Nasdaq3498.9733.720.97%  
Nikkei15138.12100.880.67%  
FTSE 1006723.0635.260.53%  
STI3449.30-2.98-0.09%  
  

A-H spread
Stock Code H share
Price
A share
Price
H share
discount
10331.806.14-76.81%
11081.705.29-74.58%
10653.259.06-71.62%
1872.707.38-71.06%
421.052.86-70.96%
3002.105.49-69.74%
5533.728.97-67.19%
10531.172.72-65.97%
3382.686.04-64.90%
7192.154.81-64.64%

ADR
CodeCompanyADR (HK$)Prev ClsPremium/
Discount
1Cheung Kong116.68  115.80  -0.75%
5HSBC89.70  88.80  -1.00%
13Hutchison34.64  86.05  148.42%
16SHK109.54  109.80  0.24%
293Cathay14.52  14.46  -0.39%
386SINOPEC8.57  8.53  -0.47%
728China Telecom4.14  4.12  -0.39%
762UNICOM11.54  11.44  -0.83%
857PetroChina9.85  9.81  -0.40%
883CNOOC14.41  14.24  -1.21%
902Huaneng9.57  9.64  0.75%
941China Mobile85.89  85.70  -0.22%
2628China Life21.66  21.35  -1.43%


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Phillip Research - Hong Kong ½÷¥ß¬ã¨s³¡ ¡V ­»´ä¤Î¤¤°ê
Company Stock Code Last Update Suggestion Target Price Price on Recom
Mainland FinancialSector Rating : Equal weightXingyu Chen (86) 2151698900-105chenxingyu@phillip.com.cn
China Galaxy Securities688110/05/2013Speculative subscribe7.5
Chongqing Rural Commercial Bank361826/04/2013Buy5.54.13
Transportation and AutomobilesSector Rating : Equal weightZhang Jing (86) 2151699200-103zhangjing@phillip.com.cn
China Southern Airlines105515/05/2013Accumulate4.64.06
Dongfeng48907/05/2013Buy 16.112.2
Mainland PropertySector Rating : Equal weightGeng Chen (86) 2151698900-113chengeng@phillip.com.cn
RUI ON LAND27216/05/2013Accumulate3.42.95
Fortune Real Estate Investment Trust77814/05/2013Neutral8.148.28
CoalSector Rating : Equal weightGuohe Fan ((86) 2151698900-104)fanguohe@phillip.com.cn
China Coal Energy189817/04/2012Accumulate 10.258.66
Winsway Coking Coal173301/03/2012Buy 32.2
Local FinancialsSector Rating : Equal weightLee Ka Lim (852) 22776751bennylee@phillip.com.hk
HSBC Holdings PLC000509/05/2013Accumulate9587.7
Bank of China Hong Kong238803/04/2013Neutral 27.0525.95
TelecommunicationsSector Rating : Overweight 
China Fiber Optic Network System Group Ltd377715/04/2013Buy1.61.05
China Fiber Optic Network System Group Ltd377712/04/2013Buy1.61.05
Textiles & ClothingSector Rating : Equal weightN/A N/AN/A
Shipping and PortSector Rating : Overweight 
Singamas Container Holdings Ltd.71608/10/2009Hold1.421.45
Anhui Tianda Oil Pipe Company Limited83905/10/2009Buy3.372.67
Oil and GasSector Rating : Underweight 
ChinaGas 38420/05/2013Accumulate9.170.000
Kunlun Energy13513/05/2013Buy18.5415.46

Information contained herein is based on sources that Phillip Securities (Hong Kong) Limited and/or its affiliates ( the ¡§Group¡¨) believe to be accurate. The Group does not bear responsibility for any loss occasioned by reliance placed upon the contents hereof. The Group (or its employees) may have interests in relevant investment products. For details of different products¡¦ risks, please view the Risk Disclosures Statement on http://www.phillip.com.hk.

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