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8 May, 2020 (Friday)

            
CHINA EDU GROUP(839)
Analysis¡G
China Education Group (839) plans to further expand in the Greater Bay Area through M&A as well as campus expansion. The Group announced that it has entered into an agreement with Zhaoqing City Natural Resources Bureau to formally acquire the land use right of a parcel of land located in Zhaoqing New District of Zhaoqing City, Guangdong Province. The Group intends to use the Land to establish phase one of the new campus of the Guangzhou University Songtian College. The site area of the phase one Land is approximately 243,900 square meters (approximately 366 mu), with planned gross floor area of 365,900 square meters. The Group`s school network in the Greater Bay Area will be further enhanced with addition of the new campus. (I do not hold the above stock)
Strategy¡G
Buy-in Price: $12.50, Target Price: $14.00, Cut Loss Price: $11.80


DSBJ(002384.SZ)
Analysis¡G
The company is one of the leading printed circuit boards(PCB) and flexible printed circuits(FPC) manufacturer in China, and the most significant supplier of precision metal antenna for base stations in the world. In 2018, the company had horizontally acquired Multek, a leading value-added manufacturer of rigid, flexible, and rigid-flex printed circuits. And thanks to the company`s FPC businesses has outperformed market expectations, the company performed well in Q1 2020, with revenue of US$ 5.13 billion, an upturn of 14.2% YoY, and net profit attributable to shareholders also increased by 4.4% YoY to US$ 210 million. It is believed that driven by the ¡§new infrastructure¡¨ development boost after the outbreak of the COVID-19 pandemic being under control in China, companies like Dongshan Precision with ample orders would benefit by the increasing sales of 5G smartphones and devices in China. We expect that the Chinese government will focus on the development of 5G infrastructure in the second half of 2020, which also helps promote the demand for communications base stations` PCB and 5G base station`s dielectric filters. With steady cash flow and improved turnover ratios, the company`s profitability is optimistic in the coming years.
Strategy¡G
Buy-in Price: RMB26.00, Target Price: RMB29.00, Cut Loss Price: RMB24.70



Report Review of April. 2020

Sectors:

Air & Automobiles (Zhang Jing),

Automobile & Air (ZhangJing)

This month I released 4 updated reports of SIA (600009.CH), Tianneng Power (819.HK), Yongda (3669.HK), and Weichai (2338.HK), which got success by their unique Competitive edge. Among them, we highly recommend Tianneng Power and Yongda.Tianneng Power's 2019 revenue and net profit increased by 17% and 42%, respectively. Basic EPS were RMB1.49. The proposed final dividend was HKD0.39 per share. The dividend payout ratio reached 23%. In 2019, the Company's market share in the domestic lead-acid battery of light electric vehicle has exceeded 44%, more than 3 ppts higher than in 2018. In H1, due to some changes in the industry policies, customers` wait-and-see attitude led to a drop in the demand for the lead-acid battery. With further integration in the industry, the demand recovered in H2, resulting in a better sales situation than in H1. Battery sales revenue increased by about 25% hoh and the net profit doubled to RMB1.14 billion hoh. The full-year profit contribution was RMB1.71 billion. With the increasing requirements of environmental protection in domestic, the concentration of the lead-acid battery industry will continue to improve. As the leading enterprise, Tianneng Power's "cash cow" ¡X lead-acid battery business will remain stable. The Company plans to spin off the subsidiaries and list on the Sci-Tech innovation board in Shanghai. We believe that current valuation near a decade low, which does not reflect the company's leading position in domestic lead-acid battery market and expectation of stable growth. For valuation we cut our target price to HK$8.51 to reflect the possible challenge of the Company, maintain a Buy rating.

The revenue of Yongda Automobiles was RMB62.71 billion in 2019, up 13.4% yoy; the profit attributable to shareholders stood at RMB1.473 billion, up 17.6% yoy, with the EPS of RMB0.8. In 2019, the sales volume of the premium cars in China increased against the trend. Benefiting from the prosperity in the premium cars market and channel expansion, the Company's overall sales volume of new cars was up 11.6% yoy to 197,400, with the sales volume of the premium cars up 15.5% yoy to 128,600, faster than the industry average of 9.7%.

By the end of 2019, the number of dealerships increased to 208, with a net increase of 14. Among them, there was 119 luxury brands, which had a net increase of 8. The number of those who had got licenses was 12. Within the year, there was 13 new self-built dealerships and 6 by mergers and acquisitions, including luxury brands as Porsche/Mercedes-Benz/Lexus/Volvo/Lincoln/Aston Martin as well as the new energy brands like Tesla/WM/Xpeng/Byton. The outbreak affected the sales in the first quarter, but now, as things get better, the Company is rapidly recovering orders and store visitors, and is expected to return to normal levels in the past in April. In view of the favourable factors such as the newly acquired stores, the increased license plate quota in Shanghai and the support policies of the automobile manufacturers, the management still maintains the original operational objectives.

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