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8 Oct, 2015 (Thursday)

            
SKYWORTHDIGITAL(751)
Analysis¡G
Skyworth Digital Holdings (751) recorded total TV sales volume of 1.41 million units, representing a 6% year-on-year increase and a 8.7% month-on-month increase, mainly driven by sales growth in China. Sales of Smart TV¡]4K¡^, which has the highest gross profit margin among all TV series, totalled 304,800 units in September, representing a year-on-year increase of 106% and a month-on-month increase of 18.9%. It accounted for approximately 28% of TV sales volume in September 2015,compared to around 15% and 23% in September 2014 and August 2015 respectively. In the first half of FY2015/16 (April to September), its overall TV sales volume totaled 6.595 million units, increasing by 11% as compared with the same period last year. (I do not hold the above stock)
Strategy¡G
Buy-in Price: $6.00, Target Price: $7.00, Cut Loss Price: $5.50


Chinasoft International (354.HK) - Fast growth would continue

In 2015H1, Chinasoft's overall revenue recorded a growth of 23.3% yoy to RMB2.39 billion. Affected by the increased portion of hardware sales which profitability was lower, the Company's gross profit margin dropped by 1.6 ppts yoy to 28.4%. However, rate of sales and management fee decreased by 2ppts yoy to 18.8% because of economies of scale. Therefore, the Company's net profit surged 37.9% yoy to RMB0.14 billion, with net profit margin improved by 0.6 ppts yoy to 5.8%.

The Company has announced an issuance of new shares to acquire 40% equity of Chinasoft International Service owned by Huawei (the number of new shares would not exceed 5% of the post-issuance total share). Chinasoft International Service mainly provides services to Huawei. In our views, Huawei would become a strategic shareholder of the Company, but no longer an ordinary business partner, after such issuance of new shares. The strategic operation between Huawei and the Company is expected to be consolidated and enhanced. In the future, more of the outsourcing services of Huawei would be allocated to Chinasoft. Moreover, the cooperation field will develop into new services including cloud computing, big data, industry 4.0 etc.

Joint Force platform transforms human resources, from a management system to interest relations: IT operators, teams and enterprises gain income based on the jobs acquired. The Company then collects fixed commission in the due course. With the Company's business gradually transiting to the Joint Force platform, the overall cost of human resources would become stable. The business of the platform can enhance the gross profit margin, and boost up the profitability of the Company. In addition, the platform would also serve long tail markets of small-scaled IT projects, and accumulate data for systems, and then access the exchange volume, credit and cash flow etc of new enterprises and micro enterprises. Big data analysis could help lower the credit risk. The Company would plan to provide capital in the future, for provision of high-quality supply chain financial services to small and micro enterprise, nurturing new momentum for profit growth.

High stock margin of safety

In 2015H1, large-scale institutes continued to acquire Chinasoft's equity in large quantity at the price between HKD3.68 and 3.93, indicating the Company's stock price has higher margin of safety. In August, Chinasoft was successfully included as one of the constituent stocks of the Hang Seng Composite SmallCap Index, demonstrating the Company being recognized by the international capital market. We believe that the Company would continue to be benefitted from the informatization of China, localization of IT, expanded off-shore IT outsourcing market, and the robust growth of new emerging industries like cloud computing. Plus with the enhancement of efficiency of platform, as well as profitability, fast growth of the Company's business is expected. We grant the Company a valuation corresponding to 25x EPS in e2015, with a target price of HKD4.35, and a rating of ¡§Buy¡¨. (Closing price as at 6 Oct 2015)

Prosperous growth of business in H1

In 2015H1, Chinasoft's overall revenue recorded a growth of 23.3% yoy to RMB2.39 billion, in which the business of cloud computing and mobile internet indicated robust growth, boosting the income from emerging services up 47% yoy to RMB0.22 billion. Based on business segments of the Company, professional services business, outsourcing services business and emerging services business accounted for 40.3%, 48.6%, 9.2% of the Company's results respectively.

Affected by the increased portion of hardware sales which profitability was lower, the Company's gross profit margin dropped by 1.6 ppts yoy to 28.4%. However, rate of sales and management fee decreased by 2ppts yoy to 18.8% because of economies of scale. Therefore, the Company's net profit surged 37.9% yoy to RMB0.14 billion, with net profit margin improved by 0.6 ppts yoy to 5.8%.

Huawei would upgrade as strategic shareholder

Chinasoft is the largest outsourcing services provider of Huawei, and Huawei is also the major client of Chinasoft's outsourcing services business. Since 2012, the CAGR of the outsourcing business from Huawei has reached 52.8%, accounted for 66% of total income of outsourcing business in 2014. In 2015H1, ChinaSoft's revenue from Huawei surged 32% yoy, still far higher than the growth rate of income of outsourcing business which is 20.8%. Currently, the Company has announced an issuance of new shares to acquire 40% equity of Chinasoft International Service owned by Huawei (the number of new shares would not exceed 5% of the post-issuance total share). Chinasoft International Service mainly provides services to Huawei. In our views, Huawei would become a strategic shareholder of the Company, but no longer an ordinary business partner, after such issuance of new shares. The strategic operation between Huawei and the Company is expected to be consolidated and enhanced. In the future, more of the outsourcing services of Huawei would be allocated to Chinasoft.

Huawei has already formulated a development goal, income in the coming three years is expected to be USD100 billion to USD120 billion. Income recorded in 2014 was merely about USD45 billion. In other words, an income growth of more than double is expected and this would bring momentum to the development of the related business of Chinasoft International. Previously, Huawei's business mainly focus on the Company's outsourcing aspect, but the recent cooperation between the Company and Huawei has been developed into new services including cloud computing, big data, industry 4.0 etc. It is worth to note that Huawei is now implementing a staff enhancement policy: the number of staff would keep unchanged with the expanded scale of operation in the future. Therefore, Huawei would release medium- and high-end services to outsourcing companies and Chinasoft could grasp more clients directly. Such client groups are in large quantity, allocated in domestic Chinese markets as well as overseas.

Speedy development of the Joint Force platform

The Company's Joint Force platform was successfully launched on 19 June and it demonstrated a trend of fast growth. As at the end of August 2015, the platform recorded the number of registered programmers as over 42,000 (which includes 12,000 staffs of the Company), and over 1800 registered enterprise-users. The yearly goal of the Company is making the number of enterprise business customers over 10,000 and the number of registered programmers over 100,000.

Currently, the goal of the platform concentrates on administrative cloud and industry internet, in order to gather IT service providers and operators, and boost up industrial efficiency. One point to highlight is that the platform would also serve long tail markets of small-scaled IT projects, and accumulate data for systems, and then access the exchange volume, credit and cash flow etc of new enterprises and micro enterprises. Big data analysis could help lower the credit risk. The Company would plan to provide capital in the future, for provision of high-quality supply chain financial services to small and micro enterprise, nurturing new momentum for profit growth.

Overall, Joint Force platform transforms human resources, from a management system to interest relations: IT operators, teams and enterprises gain income based on the jobs acquired. The Company then collects fixed commission in the due course. With the Company's business gradually transiting to the Joint Force platform, the overall cost of human resources would become stable. The business of the platform can enhance the gross profit margin, and boost up the profitability of the Company.

Catalyst

Better-than-expected development of outsourcing markets;

Better-than-expected development of the Joint Force platform.

Risks

Intensified market competition drags down profitability;

Labor cost increases too quickly;

Operation risk of Joint Force platform and cloud computing.

Financials

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Recommendation on 8-10-2015
RecommendationBuy
Price on Recommendation Date$ 2.970
Suggested purchase priceN/A
Target Price$ 4.350
Writer Info
Fan Guohe
(Research Analyst)
Tel: (86) 21 51699400-110
Email:
fanguohe@phillip.com.cn

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Phillip Research - Hong Kong ½÷¥ß¬ã¨s³¡ ¡V ­»´ä¤Î¤¤°ê
Company Stock Code Last Update Suggestion Target Price Price on Recom
Mainland Financial Xingyu Chen (86) 2151698900-105chenxingyu@phillip.com.cn
CITIC Securities603030/09/2015Buy2014
Industrial Bank60116622/09/2015Buy2014.51
Transportation and Automobiles Zhang Jing (86) 2151699200-103zhangjing@phillip.com.cn
Geely17502/10/2015BUY4.453.69
JAC60041815/09/2015Buy16.212.28
Mainland Property Geng Chen (86) 2151699400-107chengeng@phillip.com.cn
China World Trade Center60000706/10/2015Accumulate15.513.7
SHENZHEN INVESTMENT60424/09/2015Accumulate3.22.87
Insurance Xingyu Chen (86) 2151699400-105chenxingyu@phillip.com.cn
Properties  
LESSO212823/09/2015Buy7.96.02
FORTUNE REIT77814/10/2014Accumulate7.326.92
Local Financials Xingyu Chen (86) 2151698900-105chenxingyu@phillip.com.cn
HSBC509/08/2013Accumulate100.484.25
HSBC Holdings PLC000509/05/2013Accumulate9587.7
Health & Personal Care Fan Guohe  (+ 86 21 51699400-110)fanguohe@phillip.com.cn
Yibai Pharmaceutical60059429/09/2015Buy21.5515.9
Tasly Pharmaceutical Group60053525/08/2015Buy 53.0838.73
Hotels and Entertainment Geng Chen (86) 2151699400-107chengeng@phillip.com.cn
Galaxy Entertainment2708/07/2015Buy4233.55
Galaxy Entertainment2728/05/2015Accumulate 4238.8
New Energy  
Singyes Solar75007/10/2015Buy85.45
Beijing Enterprise Water37125/09/2015Buy7.985.46
Food, Beverage and Retail  
Inner Mongolia Yili Industrial Group60088721/07/2015BUY26.418.99
China Tianyi Holdings75620/07/2015Buy21.13
Telecommunications  
Chinasoft International35408/10/2015Buy4.350.000
PAX Global Technology Limited32718/09/2015BUY118
Oil and Gas Geng Chen (86) 2151699400-107chengeng@phillip.com.cn
TSC GROUP20628/07/2015Buy2.82.11
SPT Energy125124/02/2015Reduce1.51.74
Software & Service  
Goldpac Group331518/02/2015N/A4.77
KINGDEE INT`L26802/12/2014Accumulate2.752.45

Information contained herein is based on sources that Phillip Securities (Hong Kong) Limited and/or its affiliates ( the ¡§Group¡¨) believe to be accurate. The Group does not bear responsibility for any loss occasioned by reliance placed upon the contents hereof. The Group (or its employees) may have interests in relevant investment products. For details of different products¡¦ risks, please view the Risk Disclosures Statement on http://www.phillip.com.hk.

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