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5 Oct, 2015 (Monday)


ZTE(763)
Analysis¡G
The R&D expenses of the company broke its record again in 2015H1. After spending RMB25.7 billion in R&D in Q1, R&D expenses reached RMB2.92 billion in Q2 and accounted for 12% of total revenue, exceeding its previous record of 10%. We believe consistently high investment in R&D will help the company build up its long-term competitive advantages in telecommunications and new technological arenas. We remain positive on the profit outlook of the company. Firstly, domestic carriers will speed up construction of 4G networks. Besides, in overseas markets, demand for the 4G network construction is shifting from developed countries to developing markets. Being the leading player in the telecommunications industry with overseas recognition of its technological edge, ZTE is expected to increase its market share and benefit from a booming global demand for network construction. Moreover, the company actively develops the terminal business and expands its services to government and corporate customers, which will provide momentum for its sustained development.
Strategy¡G
Buy-in Price: $17.70, Target Price: $19.70, Cut Loss Price: $16.88


Report Review of September. 2015

Sectors:

Mainland financial, Utilities (Xingyu Chen), Mainland Telecom (Fanguohe),Mainland property, Oil and gas service (Chengeng), Air, Automobiles, Infrastructure (ZhangJing), New energy & Environmental Goods (Zhang Kun)

Mainland Financial (Xingyu Chen)

In Sep, HSI decreased from 21,200 at the beginning of this month to 20,800 currently, down 2% approximately. According to the performance, the banks` share prices still maintained the same trend as the market this month, and most of banks` share prices started to be stabilized after the large adjustment.

We believe the banks` operating performance still faces many challenges in 2H, some banks` profit growth may have the negative growth, currently the banks` valuation decreases largely, therefore we still hold the cautiously optimistic view on the banks` prices in future. Maintain the banking sector on Buy rating.

Mainland Telecom (Fan guohe)

This month I released 4 equity reports including, ZTE(0763.HK), SMIC(0981.HK), PAX Global¡]0327.HK¡^and YIBAI Pharmaceutical(600594.CH). We prefer PAX Global with the more attractive future. From the perspective of global development in finance industry, EFT mode would gradually replace the traditional mode of cash payment. For example, Denmark would become the first country in the world which no longer uses cash as a medium of transaction. It is worth to note that, in the era of mobile internet, EFT would be more convenient. Pax Global is expected to be benefitted from the trend. Thereinto, the American market carries the growth highlights, where revenue recorded in 2015H1 surged 78.2% yoy. High-speed growth is still expected. Meanwhile, the Company is expected to regain growth in Chinese market in 2015H2 and we are optimistic about this. First of all, the delayed confirmation of income in first half of the year will be booked in. Moreover, the new product of wireless POS terminal was launched in June. In addition, according to the most recent policy, the administrative fee of using bank cards would be lowered generally, and this would be particularly beneficial to dining and entertainment industries. We believe the launch of such policies would lower the expenses of shops and encourage more shops to use POS terminals. Plus with improving earning capabilities, we believe its consistent growth is expectable.

Mainland Property & Oil/Gas service (Chen geng)

.

Automobile & Air (ZhangJing)

This month I released 3 equity reports including Cathay Pacific(293 HK)¡AJ AC(600418 CH)¡Aand LESSO(2128 HK). We prefer the JAC. The total sales volume for the first 8 months grew by 27% yoy. Combined sales volumes in July and August grew by 57% yoy. The growth was almost solely driven by SUV sales, which leapfrogged by 6.5x yoy for the two months combined. Sales volumes of pure electric vehicles totaled 1,995 units for the two months. The 5th generation pure electric vehicle still cannot satisfy the demand. We believe strong sales momentum of SUVs and new energy vehicles will enhance profitability of the company. The growth of trucks swung back to positive. We believe the sales growth will gain momentum in H2. Our target price of RMB16.2 is equivalent to 20x/12.6x of its 2015/2016 PE. We reiterate a ¡§BUY¡¨ rating.

New energy & Environmental protection (ZhangKun)

We update four reports in this month, they are Longi silicon (601012.SH), Canvest Env(1381.HK), Everbright Int (257.HK) and Beijing Enterprise Water (371.HK). We recommend Longi Silicon. Monocrystalline wafers are gaining market acceptance due to its high conversion efficiency ratio, which is especially suitable for adoption by distributed power generation. We believe there is a trend that monocrystalline wafers will increase its market share. The company is the global leader in monocrystalline wafer manufacturing. It has already started to expand into mid-stream business to produce modules as well as downstream business to construct and operate power plants. We expect it can develop the whole supply chain in future. We recommend a ¡§BUY¡¨ rating, with a target price of RMB13.80, which is equivalent to a prospective P/E of 30x.

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Phillip Research - Hong Kong ½÷¥ß¬ã¨s³¡ ¡V ­»´ä¤Î¤¤°ê
Company Stock Code Last Update Suggestion Target Price Price on Recom
Mainland Financial Xingyu Chen (86) 2151698900-105chenxingyu@phillip.com.cn
Report Review of September. 201505/10/20150.000
CITIC Securities603030/09/2015Buy2014
Transportation and Automobiles Zhang Jing (86) 2151699200-103zhangjing@phillip.com.cn
Geely17502/10/2015BUY4.453.69
JAC60041815/09/2015Buy16.212.28
Mainland Property Geng Chen (86) 2151699400-107chengeng@phillip.com.cn
SHENZHEN INVESTMENT60424/09/2015Accumulate3.22.87
YUEXIU REIT40517/09/2015Neutral3.83.99
Insurance Xingyu Chen (86) 2151699400-105chenxingyu@phillip.com.cn
Properties  
LESSO212823/09/2015Buy7.96.02
FORTUNE REIT77814/10/2014Accumulate7.326.92
Local Financials Xingyu Chen (86) 2151698900-105chenxingyu@phillip.com.cn
HSBC509/08/2013Accumulate100.484.25
HSBC Holdings PLC000509/05/2013Accumulate9587.7
Health & Personal Care Fan Guohe  (+ 86 21 51699400-110)fanguohe@phillip.com.cn
Yibai Pharmaceutical60059429/09/2015Buy21.5515.9
Tasly Pharmaceutical Group60053525/08/2015Buy 53.0838.73
Hotels and Entertainment Geng Chen (86) 2151699400-107chengeng@phillip.com.cn
Galaxy Entertainment2708/07/2015Buy4233.55
Galaxy Entertainment2728/05/2015Accumulate 4238.8
New Energy  
Beijing Enterprise Water37125/09/2015Buy7.985.46
China Everbright Int25721/09/2015Accumulate12.510.74
Food, Beverage and Retail  
Inner Mongolia Yili Industrial Group60088721/07/2015BUY26.418.99
China Tianyi Holdings75620/07/2015Buy21.13
Telecommunications  
PAX Global Technology Limited32718/09/2015BUY118
Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corporation98111/09/2015Buy0.90.71
Oil and Gas Geng Chen (86) 2151699400-107chengeng@phillip.com.cn
TSC GROUP20628/07/2015Buy2.82.11
SPT Energy125124/02/2015Reduce1.51.74
Software & Service  
Goldpac Group331518/02/2015N/A4.77
KINGDEE INT`L26802/12/2014Accumulate2.752.45

Information contained herein is based on sources that Phillip Securities (Hong Kong) Limited and/or its affiliates ( the ¡§Group¡¨) believe to be accurate. The Group does not bear responsibility for any loss occasioned by reliance placed upon the contents hereof. The Group (or its employees) may have interests in relevant investment products. For details of different products¡¦ risks, please view the Risk Disclosures Statement on http://www.phillip.com.hk.

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