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29 Jun, 2015 (Monday)


TONGDA GROUP(698)
Analysis¡G
Although the Company doesn`t have advantages in scale, it has cutting-edge technologies in segments which are gaining the popularity in the market. For example, it has developed new customers like Xiaomi and VIVO for mobile phone casing business; it has won orders from Haier for home appliance business; and for the car interior decoration, it has also attracted BYD and Ford. Besides, the growth in the business of metal mobile phone casings will improve the Company's profitability, and its fast growth is quite likely to keep on. We grant it 13.5X 2015EPS and the target price can be HK$1.7.
Strategy¡G
Buy-in Price: $1.60, Target Price: $1.70, Cut Loss Price: $1.20


On Time Logistics (6123.HK) - Supply Chain Service for Cross-border E- business will Be New Highlight

Company Profile

On Time-Express, incorporated in 1995, is an international freight forwarder whose business has extended to 16 countries and regions. They provide export cargo freight forwarding service by booking shipping spaces from an airliner or an ocean shipping company to deliver the goods in full containers or in less than container load to the designated destinations. International freight forwarding is a competitive industry with low profit margin.

Investment Overview

The main business of On Time-Express is to provide air and ocean freight forwarding services, accounting for 69% and 28% respectively, in addition to a small amount of warehousing and storage, supply chain and sales agency services. Its business results growth in 2014 can be attributed to the air freight service, with net profit margin rising to 2%. Its European freight business is overall weak although this is partly offset by American freight business and logistic cooperation with Alibaba.

From late 2014, the Company began its cooperation with CaiNiao, which will become a highlight. The packages from Alibaba are sent to Russia via Finland and the number of packages has increased from 500 to 30000 a day. The revenues in this respect are expected to reach RMB60 million to RMB100 million, with a profit margin less than 20% but higher than its traditional services. It is said that JD.com will likely join the cooperation with the Company.

HoliBuy, an e-business platform owned and operated by the Company, is created specially to serve foreign brands which aim to explore China market, in particular Tmall. To put it simply, HolicBuy opens a store on Tmall and foreign brands on HolicBuy which delivers services such as marketing, warehousing, storage and distribution. Now the platform has attracted 5-6 customers.

The Company is going to acquire 20% equity of a Beijing-based logistics company which will be listed in New Three Board soon. When the deal is closed, the Company will enter domestic cargo distribution service market. In the future, the two parties each will hold 50% shares of the new company which will launch a platform for online purchase overseas in mid August.

One of the catalysts for the results in the second half of the year is that it will acquire an ocean shipping company which promises an annual profit of no less than HK$40 million, contributing remarkably to the profitability.

On Time-Express is turning from the traditional freight forwarding service to e-business supply chain service, and the logistics cooperation with CaiNiao will make difference in its business revenues and profit margin. Recently, the State Council issued new policies to encourage cross-border e-business and boost the weakening export. International logistics distribution is a key support for cross-border e-business and On Time-Express will benefit much. We give On Time-Express a ¡§Buy¡¨ rating and set a 12-month target price of HK$2.2, equivalent to 11x PE for 2015. (Closing price as at 25 June 2015)

Financials

Click Here for PDF format...




Recommendation on 29-6-2015
RecommendationBuy
Price on Recommendation Date$ 1.730
Suggested purchase priceN/A
Target Price$ 2.200
Writer Info
Chen Geng
(Research Analyst)
Tel: +8621 51699400-107
Email:
chengeng@phillip.com.cn

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Phillip Research - Hong Kong ½÷¥ß¬ã¨s³¡ ¡V ­»´ä¤Î¤¤°ê
Company Stock Code Last Update Suggestion Target Price Price on Recom
Mainland Financial Xingyu Chen (86) 2151698900-105chenxingyu@phillip.com.cn
Harbin Bank613825/06/2015Buy3.852.91
The People's Insurance Company (Group) of China133919/06/2015Buy64.74
Transportation and Automobiles Zhang Jing (86) 2151699200-103zhangjing@phillip.com.cn
On Time Logistics612329/06/2015Buy2.200.000
BYD121124/06/2015Accumulate5549.2
Mainland Property Geng Chen (86) 2151699400-107chengeng@phillip.com.cn
Colour Life177823/06/2015Buy13.89.8
FANTASIA177704/06/2015Buy1.81.37
Insurance Xingyu Chen (86) 2151699400-105chenxingyu@phillip.com.cn
Properties  
FORTUNE REIT77814/10/2014Accumulate7.326.92
Hysan Development001418/03/2014Accumulate36.833.35
Local Financials Xingyu Chen (86) 2151698900-105chenxingyu@phillip.com.cn
HSBC509/08/2013Accumulate100.484.25
HSBC Holdings PLC000509/05/2013Accumulate9587.7
Health & Personal Care Fan Guohe  (+ 86 21 51699400-110)fanguohe@phillip.com.cn
Kangmei Pharmaceutical60051816/06/2015BUY 62.4449.98
Zhongxin Pharmaceuticals60032912/05/2015Hold23.6422.89
Hotels and Entertainment Geng Chen (86) 2151699400-107chengeng@phillip.com.cn
Galaxy Entertainment2728/05/2015Accumulate 4238.8
Wisdom Group166105/01/2015BUY6.554.6
New Energy  
GCL New Energy45118/06/2015Buy 1.610.76
Xinjiang Goldwind220812/06/2015Accumulate20.7517.4
Food, Beverage and Retail  
Samsonite International SA191011/06/2015Accumulate3026.05
Samsonite International SA191026/03/2015Accumulate30
Telecommunications  
NetDragon Websoft Inc.77726/06/2015Accumulate40.4734.45
Tongda Group69822/06/2015Accumulate1.71.51
Oil and Gas Geng Chen (86) 2151699400-107chengeng@phillip.com.cn
SPT Energy125124/02/2015Reduce1.51.74
CIMC ENRIC389927/10/2014Buy107.67
Software & Service  
Goldpac Group331518/02/2015N/A4.77
KINGDEE INT`L26802/12/2014Accumulate2.752.45

Information contained herein is based on sources that Phillip Securities (Hong Kong) Limited and/or its affiliates ( the ¡§Group¡¨) believe to be accurate. The Group does not bear responsibility for any loss occasioned by reliance placed upon the contents hereof. The Group (or its employees) may have interests in relevant investment products. For details of different products¡¦ risks, please view the Risk Disclosures Statement on http://www.phillip.com.hk.

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