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16 Apr, 2015 (Thursday)

            
CIMC(2039)
Analysis¡G
The US Department of Commerce announced to impose definitive anti-dumping and countervailing duties from the 53 feet dry container from China, which caused selling pressure on the share price of CIMC (2039). However, the operating income proportion from 53 feet dry container to the total revenue was not high, the US Commerce Department's final ruling was expected not to have significant impacts on the Group's business operations and financial conditions. The Group recently issued a profit alert that expected the first-quarter net profit ranging between RMB 447 billion to RMB 511 billion, which the net profit would increased 2.5 times to 3 times compared with RMB 127 million last year. (I do not hold the above stock)
Strategy¡G
Buy-in Price: $21.00, Target Price: $23.00, Cut Loss Price: $20.00

DONGFENG GROUP(489)
Analysis¡G
Dongfeng's FY2014 net profit rose 22% yoy to 12.8 billion yuan, 2% higher than the market consensus. The main surprise came from foreign exchange gains of 860 million yuan. Group will launch 13 new models this year, the most over the years. We expected this will help to promote its sales. The current stock price is about 7 times and 6 times to its estimated EPS in the next two years, the lowest in the peers.
Strategy¡G
Buy-in Price: $13.20, Target Price: $14.80, Cut Loss Price: $12.40


China Suntein (956.HK) - Wind power business growth is worth expecting

Results met the expectation

The annual revenue of company in 2014 reported RMB 5.149 billion Yuan, up 10.5%; the gross profit was RMB 1.296 billion Yuan and the gross margin was 25.1% which declined by 6 ppts from a year earlier. The profit belonging to the company shareholder was 335 million Yuan, down 27.1% yoy, and the earning per share was RMB 0.09 Yuan. The company results were basically in line with the expectation.

Natural gas business remained stable

The sales revenue of natural gas in 2014 was RMB 3.903 billion Yuan, up 17.3 % yoy; the gross margin was 16.5%, down by 3.3 ppts yoy , which was mainly because of the gas price rising. The wholesale gas volume was up 10.8% yoy while the retail gas volume dropped by 7.5%. There will be more newly-built pipelines putting into gas transportation in the future and the wholesale gas volume may increase further, however, the retail gas volume may decrease because of the weaker economy this year. We think that the profits of natural gas business will basically maintain present level in the next two years.

Wind power business is worth expecting

The income of wind power business of the company in 2014 was RMB 1.246 billion Yuan, which was down 6.6% yoy; the main reason of the decline was the poor condition of wind resources in 2014. Holding installed capacity has reached 1696.8 trillion watts, which has added by 251.5 trillion watts. There are 548.5 trillion watts of projects under construction, which are estimated to be completed in succession in the second half of 2015. The annual utilization hours of 2014 were 1996, decreasing by 316 hours compared to that of 2013. Considering the situation of wind power in the first quarter of 2015, the utilization hours of this year will rise; and wind power business will be the major driving force of result growth.

Valuation

Though the result of the company in 2014 was not good, the time-racing installation of wind power guarantees result growth in the next two years. Under the ideal external conditions that wind resources have been improved and that the rate of abandoned wind has declined, the result of the company will be significantly improved. We have raised the target price of the coming 12 months to 2.82 HKD, which is equal to 20 times of expected earnings in 2015, "buy" rating. (Closing price as at 14 April 2015)

Financials

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Recommendation on 16-4-2015
RecommendationBuy
Price on Recommendation Date$ 2.090
Suggested purchase priceN/A
Target Price$ 2.820
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Phillip Research - Hong Kong ½÷¥ß¬ã¨s³¡ ¡V ­»´ä¤Î¤¤°ê
Company Stock Code Last Update Suggestion Target Price Price on Recom
Mainland Financial Xingyu Chen (86) 2151698900-105chenxingyu@phillip.com.cn
Standard Chartered PLC288810/04/2015Accumulate140126.2
Industrial Securities60137731/03/2015Buy2515.03
Transportation and Automobiles Zhang Jing (86) 2151699200-103zhangjing@phillip.com.cn
BCIA69415/04/2015Accumulate9.238.73
GWM233308/04/2015Accumulate6354.7
Mainland Property Geng Chen (86) 2151699400-107chengeng@phillip.com.cn
COUNTRY GARDEN200713/04/2015Accumulate3.83.46
COUNTRY GARDEN200718/03/2015Accumulate3.32.9
Insurance Xingyu Chen (86) 2151699400-105chenxingyu@phillip.com.cn
CPIC260111/11/2014Buy33.728.1
New China Insurance133615/08/2014Buy36.628
Properties  
FORTUNE REIT77814/10/2014Accumulate7.326.92
Hysan Development001418/03/2014Accumulate36.833.35
Local Financials Xingyu Chen (86) 2151698900-105chenxingyu@phillip.com.cn
HSBC509/08/2013Accumulate100.484.25
HSBC Holdings PLC000509/05/2013Accumulate9587.7
Health & Personal Care Fan Guohe  (+ 86 21 51699400-110)fanguohe@phillip.com.cn
Tasly Pharmaceutical Group60053514/04/2015Buy64.6249.81
Hotels and Entertainment Geng Chen (86) 2151699400-107chengeng@phillip.com.cn
Wisdom Group166105/01/2015BUY6.554.6
Galaxy Entertainment2719/11/2014Accumulate5651.75
New Energy  
China Suntein95616/04/2015Buy2.820.000
GCL Poly380009/04/2015Buy3.192.17
Food, Beverage and Retail  
Samsonite International SA191026/03/2015Accumulate30
Samsonite International SA191025/03/2015Accumulate3026.55
Telecommunications  
Sunny Optical Technology238201/04/2015Accumulate15.314.1
Hi Sun Technology81813/03/2015BUY2.862.2
Oil and Gas Geng Chen (86) 2151699400-107chengeng@phillip.com.cn
SPT Energy125124/02/2015Reduce1.51.74
CIMC ENRIC389927/10/2014Buy107.67
Software & Service  
Goldpac Group331518/02/2015N/A4.77
KINGDEE INT`L26802/12/2014Accumulate2.752.45

Information contained herein is based on sources that Phillip Securities (Hong Kong) Limited and/or its affiliates ( the ¡§Group¡¨) believe to be accurate. The Group does not bear responsibility for any loss occasioned by reliance placed upon the contents hereof. The Group (or its employees) may have interests in relevant investment products. For details of different products¡¦ risks, please view the Risk Disclosures Statement on http://www.phillip.com.hk.

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