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26 Mar, 2015 (Thursday)

            
CHONGQING M&E(2722)
Analysis¡G
CQ Machinery & Electric (2722) obtained stable 2014 annual performance, which operating revenue was RMB 9.485 billion, down 2.2% yoy; profit attributable to shareholders was RMB 511 million, an increase of 1%. Earnings per share was RMB 0.14, with yesterday`s closing price, it was only 7.2 times PE. Final dividend as RMB 0.046 per share, which dividend yield was around 4.5%. Moreover, the current price had more than 40% discount to NAV of RMB 1.7. the joint venture Chongqing Cummins Engine had completed the groundwork for its its engine technology R&D centre and production line, which will start construction by stage and are expected to finish construction and commence operation in the third quarter of 2017. The Group`s medium to long-term goal is to build it into a world-class high-horsepower engine manufacturing base. (I do not hold the above stock)
Strategy¡G
Buy-in Price: $1.25, Target Price: $1.40, Cut Loss Price: $1.18

COOLPAD GROUP(2369)
Analysis¡G
Coolpad plans to accelerate the transformation of product and distribution mode, so as to expand sales platform of E-commerce and open channel. We think the transformation meets the market requirement, particularly the plan on energetically expanding E-commerce channels, which will facilitate enhancing the company`s long-term competitiveness. The company also actively adjusts the product terminal mix and will gradually reduce 50% of the quantity of phone type, and return to a fine product road. Overall speaking, Coolpad has made active response in both product and channel aspects, and considering insufficient capacity of 4G cell phones and competitive advantages of cell phone manufacturers of Chinese mainland in the international market, we think that there is no need to maintain a too pessimistic expectation for China`s terminal manufacturers like Coolpad Group. Moreover, it is traded at 8.3X P/E corresponding to 2015EPS, a low valuation in our view.
Strategy¡G
Buy-in Price: $1.41, Target Price: $1.66, Cut Loss Price: $1.34


Samsonite International SA (1910.HK) - Better performance in 2014 than forecast

Summary

-The result of Samsonite in 2014 shows that the sales revenue reaches up to 2.351 billion dollars with a growth of 15.4% yoy, which is the new revenue record. The EBITDA reaches up to 384 million with a growth of 13.8% yoy. And the profits that the shareholders should occupy reach up to 186 million dollars with a growth of 5.8% yoy. The net sales and EBITDA of Samsonite exceed our expectations by 2.8% and 1.3% respectively. The profit margin of EBITDA is 16.4%, a little lower than our expectation of 16.6%. Overall, the result of Samsonite is a little higher than our expectation.

-In this period, the revenues of Asia, North America, Europe and Latin America have growths of 16.1%, 22.4%, 8.3% and 5.7% yoy respectively. The businesses in Latin America and Europe are significantly affected by the exchange rate fluctuation. From the perspective of brand division, the revenue proportion of the core brand Samsonite has reduced from 69.4% in 2013 to 65.3%, which reflects the brand diversification trend of the company. The new acquired brands Speck and Gregory have contributed revenue of more than 100 million dollars, the revenue proportion of which is 8.3%.

-Samsonite has completed the acquisitions of three brands in 2014, see details in the above table. We can see that Samsonite is walking forward firmly on the road of diversification of products and brands, which provides potential power for the business development and result growth of the company in emerging markets. In finance, the three transactions` takeover price altogether equals to about 200 million dollars. In 2014, 110 million dollars of revenue and 1.1 million dollars of profit were made. Although it is hard to describe the acquisition price is cheap, it is good for rising the enterprise's value and establishing more advantages in competitions.

-In 2014, the liability scale of Samsonite increased and the total liability was amount to 67 million by the end of the period, which grew 346% compared to the 15 million at the end of 2013; mostly on account of the remarkable rising short-term liability, the leverage ratio increased from 1.3% in 2013 to 5.2%; however, due to that the liability scale is relatively small, the whole is still in the state of net cash. At the end, the company's cash dropped from 225 million to 140 million dollars.

-Samsonite continuously carries out acquisition to make its product and brand combinations diverse and effectively expand its "defense river" for competition. Yet, the company's steady balance sheet benefits from lower financial leverage, limited capital costs and sufficient cash flow; it is good for helping the company to establish more advantages in competitions. Organic growth and denotative expansion drive Samsonite's continuous and healthy growth. We maintain Samsonite's "Accumulate" rating with 30HKD target price for 12 months, equivalent to 20 times and 18 times of 2014 and 2015's prospective PE ratio.

Financials

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Recommendation on 26-3-2015
RecommendationAccumulate
Suggested purchase priceN/A
Target Price$ 30.000
Writer Info
Chen Geng
(Research Analyst)
Tel: +8621 51699400-107
Email:
chengeng@phillip.com.cn

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Phillip Research - Hong Kong ½÷¥ß¬ã¨s³¡ ¡V ­»´ä¤Î¤¤°ê
Company Stock Code Last Update Suggestion Target Price Price on Recom
Mainland Financial Xingyu Chen (86) 2151698900-105chenxingyu@phillip.com.cn
Industrial Bank24/03/2015Buy2517.63
Ping An Insurance (Group) Company of China231816/03/2015Buy 10583.5
Transportation and Automobiles Zhang Jing (86) 2151699200-103zhangjing@phillip.com.cn
Dongfeng48912/03/2015Accumulate1411.82
China Southern Airlines105505/03/2015Neutral3.793.65
Mainland Property Geng Chen (86) 2151699400-107chengeng@phillip.com.cn
COUNTRY GARDEN200718/03/2015Accumulate3.32.9
Gemdale Group60038311/03/2015Accumulate9.89.14
Insurance Xingyu Chen (86) 2151699400-105chenxingyu@phillip.com.cn
CPIC260111/11/2014Buy33.728.1
New China Insurance133615/08/2014Buy36.628
Properties  
FORTUNE REIT77814/10/2014Accumulate7.326.92
Hysan Development001418/03/2014Accumulate36.833.35
Hotels and Entertainment Geng Chen (86) 2151699400-107chengeng@phillip.com.cn
Wisdom Group166105/01/2015BUY6.554.6
Galaxy Entertainment2719/11/2014Accumulate5651.75
New Energy  
Huaneng Renewables95823/03/2015Accumulate2.92.7
Xinyi Glass86819/03/2015Accumulate5.294.71
Food, Beverage and Retail  
Samsonite International SA191026/03/2015Accumulate30.000.000
Guizhou Yibai Pharmaceutical60059420/03/2015Accumulate53.4644.59
Telecommunications  
Hi Sun Technology81813/03/2015BUY2.862.2
ZTE76326/02/2015BUY21.2417.1
Oil and Gas Geng Chen (86) 2151699400-107chengeng@phillip.com.cn
SPT Energy125124/02/2015Reduce1.51.74
CIMC ENRIC389927/10/2014Buy107.67
Software & Service  
Goldpac Group331518/02/2015N/A4.77
KINGDEE INT`L26802/12/2014Accumulate2.752.45

Information contained herein is based on sources that Phillip Securities (Hong Kong) Limited and/or its affiliates ( the ¡§Group¡¨) believe to be accurate. The Group does not bear responsibility for any loss occasioned by reliance placed upon the contents hereof. The Group (or its employees) may have interests in relevant investment products. For details of different products¡¦ risks, please view the Risk Disclosures Statement on http://www.phillip.com.hk.

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