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17 Sep, 2014 (Wednesday)

            
CHINA WATER INDUSTRY(1129)
Analysis¡G
China Water Industry (1129) is entering into a memorandum of understanding on a water supply project with GuangDong Investment (270). Both parties will set up a team and collaborate in water supply projects in China. As of Jun 2014, China Water Industry is operating 6 water supply plants in different provinces in China, with a daily supply capacity of 1.94 mil tones. In addition with another 3 sewage treatment plant which can process approximately 130 tones of sewage per day. In Oct 2013, the group acquired Nangjing Feng Shang New Energy Technology, a company engaging in using landfill gas to generate electricity. In 2014, the company bid 5 landfill gas projects, allowing the company to increase its production capacity and generate new income stream for the company.
Strategy¡G
Buy-in Price: $1.50, Target Price: $1.70, Cut Loss Price: $1.40

AIR CHINA(753)
Analysis¡G
As the 1st Oct week is coming, there will be a sudden increase in the tourist industry, most flight seats in the mainland is unavailable, which can bring positive influence to the airline service stocks in short term. Air China (753) is mainly engaged in airline related services including maintenance, catering. Even though the company performance in 2013 was not satisfactory, with profit attributable to shareholders falling 32.5% to RMB 0.27. But as the company expanded some international lines, it is believed to bring in new customers for the company. Furthermore, there is a decrease in passenger fuel surcharges starting in Sep 2014, which can also benefit the company.
Strategy¡G
Buy-in Price: $4.90, Target Price: $6.00, Cut Loss Price: $4.50


Huaneng Renewables (958) - Installed capacity continued to expand rapidly

-The Group released its performance in the first half of the year 2014. In 2014, the Group realized a turnover of HK$ 373 million, up by 68.68% year on year. The gross margins stood at HK$235 million with the gross margin rate reaching 62.9%, or 0.9 percentage points higher than the same period of last year. Profits attributable to shareholders were HK$179 million, growing by 99.8% year on year. EPS was HK$0.13 and mid-term dividends would not be distributed. The H1 performance was a little bit higher than expected, mainly because the Group finalized two large acquisitions in the first half of the year 2014.

-In the first half of the year 2014, the Group realized HK$177 million revenues from operations & service of sewage treatment, growing by 44.7% year on year. The scale of sewage treatment in the first half of this year reached 475,000 cubic meters, increasing by 110,000 cubic meters from the end of 2013.

-In The first half of the year 2014, the Group realized HK$96 million of revenues from its sludge business. As a new business of the Group, the sludge business, within half a year, has become the second largest business of the Group only after the sewage treatment. At present, the Group has 693,000-ton sludge treatment capacity.

-We believe the Group has sufficient fund to carry out or purchase new projects. At present, the Group has HK$246 million in cash. When its debt ratio reached 65% of that at the end of 2012, the Group can still obtain HK550 million of loans.

Profits increased slightly in 1H2014

The Company's revenue amounted to RMB2.996 billion, up 2.4% y-y, and net profit attributable to equity shareholders was RMB686 million, increased slightly by 2.9% y-y, with the EPS of RMB0.076, slower than our expectation. The Company's wind power generation decreased slightly compared with the same period of last year due to the poor wind condition, but still recorded good returns because of the improvement of cost control and the increase of electrovalence.

Installed capacity will increase in 2H

As at the end of 1H, the Company's total installed capacity of wind power plants reached to 6,320MW, up 99MW compared with the end of 2013, the newly added capacity was all in Yunnan Province, and the capacity of solar power plants recorded 400MW, increased by 70MW during the same period. Currently, the Company has projects of 2GW under construction, which would be put into operation in Oct, and the wind power capacity would reach to 8GW by the end of 2014, moreover, the Company is trying to expand new projects in areas where have no strict policies for abandoning wind power and power brownouts in recent years, therefore new projects will improve the Company's performance effectively.

The efficiency of power generation decreased

The utilization hours of the Company's wind power projects recorded 960 hours in 1H, declined largely compared with 1,096 hours in 1H2013, and according to areas, the largest decrease were in Shaanxi, Liaoning, Guizhou, and Shanxi, all dropped over 20%. The main reason was the poor wind condition in 1H, in fact, the situation of power grid transmission has improved obviously compared with the past, and the abandon rate of wind power decreased largely. We expect the utilization hours will increase in 2H, and maintain over 2,000 hours in the whole year.

On-grid tariff trends to go down

The cost of wind power projects is going down gradually due to the decrease of the price of wind turbine and the improvement of abandoning wind power and power brownouts. National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC) currently plans to decrease on-grid tariff of wind power, which would cut RMB0.02 - 0.04/kWh in different areas. The tariff trends to go down although the final plan has not been decided yet, therefore the profitability of wind power projects will decline in future.

Risks

No improvement of wind condition in 2HDelay of new projects

Valuation

Although the Company's performance is lower than our expectation because of the issues of wind condition in 1H, it would be supported by the large scale of new projects in operation in 2H and the development of power grid environment. On-grid tariff trends to decrease, but it may be implemented after 2015, the Company's performance will not be affected in the next two years, we increase the Company's 12-month target price to HK3.54, equivalent to 13xP/E2015E, which is `Buy` rating.

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Recommendation on 17-9-2014
RecommendationBuy
Price on Recommendation Date$ 2.700
Suggested purchase priceN/A
Target Price$ 3.540
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Phillip Research - Hong Kong ½÷¥ß¬ã¨s³¡ ¡V ­»´ä¤Î¤¤°ê
Company Stock Code Last Update Suggestion Target Price Price on Recom
Mainland Financial Xingyu Chen (86) 2151698900-105chenxingyu@phillip.com.cn
Haitong Securities683711/09/2014Buy16.412.86
Bank of Communications332802/09/2014Buy7.25.63
Transportation and Automobiles Zhang Jing (86) 2151699200-103zhangjing@phillip.com.cn
TravelSky69615/09/2014Accumulate8.737.9
BYD121104/09/2014Accumulate6057
Mainland Property Geng Chen (86) 2151699400-107chengeng@phillip.com.cn
Greentown China390011/08/2014Accumulate88.16
NEW WORLD CHINA LAND91719/06/2014Accumulate5.55.12
Insurance Xingyu Chen (86) 2151699400-105chenxingyu@phillip.com.cn
New China Insurance133615/08/2014Buy36.628
New China Insurance133616/07/2013Buy30.1422.2
Properties  
China State Construction International Holdings Ltd331116/05/2014Buy15.813.16
Hysan Development001418/03/2014Accumulate36.833.35
Hotels and Entertainment Geng Chen (86) 2151699400-107chengeng@phillip.com.cn
Galaxy Entertainment2716/07/2014Accumulate7262.95
Galaxy Entertainment Group2716/04/2014Accumulate7868.7
New Energy  
Huaneng Renewables95817/09/2014Buy3.540.000
CT Environmental Group136305/09/2014Accumulate7.86.53
Food, Beverage and Retail  
Sa Sa International17816/09/2014Reduce5.075.81
Samsonite International SA191012/09/2014Accumulate3126.55
Telecommunications  
Coolpad Group236910/09/2014Accumulate1.961.68
Tongda Group69829/08/2014Buy1.371.07
Oil and Gas Geng Chen (86) 2151699400-107chengeng@phillip.com.cn
Jutal Offshore Oil Services330303/09/2014Buy3.83.04
Anton Oilfield Service333731/07/2014Accumulate5.24.51
Software & Service Kay Ng (852) 2277 6751kayng@phillip.com.hk
PAX GLOBAL TECH32708/09/2014Buy9.557.88
Yestar International Holdings239326/08/2014Neutral7.27.49

Information contained herein is based on sources that Phillip Securities (Hong Kong) Limited and/or its affiliates ( the ¡§Group¡¨) believe to be accurate. The Group does not bear responsibility for any loss occasioned by reliance placed upon the contents hereof. The Group (or its employees) may have interests in relevant investment products. For details of different products¡¦ risks, please view the Risk Disclosures Statement on http://www.phillip.com.hk.

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