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18 Aug, 2014 (Monday)


BOC HONG KONG(2388)
Analysis¡G
BOC Hong Kong (2388) will release its 2014 first half results ended 30 June tomorrow, the integrated first half net profit forecasts from a number of brokerage firms was between HK$ 11.723 to 12.637 billions, up 4.2 to 12.3% yoy. BOCHK`s operating profit for the first quarter was HK$ 7.837 billion, up 12 yoy, the growth rate is expected to be similar in the second half. Meanwhile, in the mid-term, its RMB settlement business is expected to be benefited by the implementation of the HK - Shanghai Connect, while would have a huge growth potential. Current PE ratio is less than 12 times, while yield was 4%, the median target price from 14 brokerages was HK$ 27, which still have upside potential now.
Strategy¡G
Buy-in Price: $24.75, Target Price: $27.00, Cut Loss Price: $24.00


Tencent Holdings (700.HK) - Performance of mobile game in Q2 met market expectation

-In Q2 Tencent¡¦s revenue reached RMB 19.75bn, increasing 37% YoY and 7% QoQ, gross profit was 12.17bn, increasing 56% YoY and 15% QoQ, and net profit reached 5.84bn, increasing 59% YoY and decreasing 9% QoQ. On the whole, in spite of negative impact of administrative expense and tax, performance in Q2 exceeded the market forecast.

-Soaring revenue of mobile game had driven profit increase in 2014. In past quarters Tencent¡¦s revenue of mobile game kept high growth. Its revenue in Q2 reached 3bn, equal to 5 times of revenue of mobile game in 14Q4. Total revenues generated from smart phone games integrated with Mobile QQ and Wechat increased sequentially to approximately RMB3 billion for the second quarter of 2014, reflecting growth in our paying user base and ARPU driven by mid-core games and in-game promotions. MAU of mobile QQ and Wechat was 520 and 440, respectively rising 45% and 57% YoY. Tencent¡¦s ARPU reached 100-110 in Q2 from 80-90 in Q1, increasing 25% QoQ, bringing obvious effect on revenue increase.

-Tencent continued to enrich our O2O ecosystem by making strategic investments in and partnering with classified listings company 58.com and map service provider NavInfo. We believe its users will benefit from the expanding range of quality services enabled by O2O partners, broadening and enhancing their user experiences.

How we view this

Sharp increase of mobile game is the major driver of performance growth of Tencent currently. We think that revenue of mobile game has reached enough large scales because Tencent enlarged user number and user stickiness, so it¡¦s hard to maintain the high growth. We expect that revenue of mobile game in future quarters will keep stable basically but with increasing gross profit margin.1H2014.

Investment Action

The game business of mobile terminals had become performance driver of Tencent Holdings in 2014. With the gradual improvement of WeChat ecosphere, O2O business will become another pillar for commercialized mobile terminals from 2015. Better business models and more diversified WeChat services will support the monetization of its mobile terminals, which will become the main driving force of the share price in the future. To sum up, we maintain the rating of "Neutral" for Tencent Holdings, with 12m TP at HKD 136,corresponding to 43x and 32x of expected P/E ratio in 2014 and 2015 respectively.

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Recommendation on 18-8-2014
RecommendationNeutral
Price on Recommendation Date$ 130.300
Suggested purchase priceN/A
Target Price$ 136.000
Writer Info
Chen Geng
(Research Analyst)
Tel: (8621) 63512937-107
Email:
chengeng@phillip.com.cn

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Phillip Research - Hong Kong ½÷¥ß¬ã¨s³¡ ¡V ­»´ä¤Î¤¤°ê
Company Stock Code Last Update Suggestion Target Price Price on Recom
Mainland Financial Xingyu Chen (86) 2151698900-105chenxingyu@phillip.com.cn
China Everbright Limited16508/08/2014Buy17.514.42
Harbin Bank613830/07/2014Buy3.852.99
Transportation and Automobiles Zhang Jing (86) 2151699200-103zhangjing@phillip.com.cn
Great Wall Motor233312/08/2014Accumulate3731.9
Weichai Power233801/08/2014Neutral3434
Mainland Property Geng Chen (86) 2151699400-107chengeng@phillip.com.cn
Greentown China390011/08/2014Accumulate88.16
NEW WORLD CHINA LAND91719/06/2014Accumulate5.55.12
Insurance Xingyu Chen (86) 2151699400-105chenxingyu@phillip.com.cn
New China Insurance133615/08/2014Buy36.628
Properties  
China State Construction International Holdings Ltd331116/05/2014Buy15.813.16
Hysan Development001418/03/2014Accumulate36.833.35
Hotels and Entertainment Geng Chen (86) 2151699400-107chengeng@phillip.com.cn
Galaxy Entertainment2716/07/2014Accumulate7262.95
Galaxy Entertainment Group2716/04/2014Accumulate7868.7
New Energy  
Dynagreen Env133006/08/2014Buy53.8
Singyes Solar75022/07/2014Buy14.9611.34
Food, Beverage and Retail  
Anta Sports202018/07/2014Accumulate13.3112.46
Bolina119005/06/2014Accumulate3.232.87
Telecommunications  
China Unicom76214/08/2014Accumulate14.213.02
China Telecom72807/08/2014Neutral4.254.14
Oil and Gas Geng Chen (86) 2151699400-107chengeng@phillip.com.cn
Anton Oilfield Service333731/07/2014Accumulate5.24.51
SPT Energy125127/06/2014Accumulate4.64.2
Software & Service Kay Ng (852) 2277 6751kayng@phillip.com.hk
Tencent Holdings70018/08/2014Neutral136.000.000
BOYAA43413/08/2014Accumulate10.449.22

Information contained herein is based on sources that Phillip Securities (Hong Kong) Limited and/or its affiliates ( the ¡§Group¡¨) believe to be accurate. The Group does not bear responsibility for any loss occasioned by reliance placed upon the contents hereof. The Group (or its employees) may have interests in relevant investment products. For details of different products¡¦ risks, please view the Risk Disclosures Statement on http://www.phillip.com.hk.

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